|

USD/JPY extends slide to 132.00 as the US dollar remains under pressure

  • US dollar tumbles across the board on the worst day in months. 
  • Inflation numbers trigger a rally in Treasuries. 
  • USD/JPY looks for another test at the 100-day SMA. 

The USD/JPY collapsed following the release of US inflation data. The numbers triggered a sell-off of the US dollar across the board, pushing the pair toward 132.00

Before the release of the US CPI, USD/JPY was trading near 135.00. Recently it bottomed at 132.00. The pair is back into negative territory for August. Below 132.00, attention would turn to the 100-day Simple Moving Average at 131.05/10. The mentioned SMA capped the downside a week ago. 

The move lower took place amid a broad-based decline of the dollar that is still going on. The DXY is falling more than 1.50%, as it trades under 104.70. The US 10-year yield is at 2.74%, after bottoming at 2.67%. 

Lower yields, risk appetite and expectations of a less aggressive Federal Reserve weighed on the USD/JPY. The annual US CPI rate dropped from 9.1% to 8.5%, against the market consensus of 8.7%. Analysts at Commerzbank, pointed out that inflation has probably passed its peak. “However, the collapse in the price of gasoline played a decisive role. The further decline in the inflation rate is therefore likely to be slow.”

Market participants still see the Fed raising rates at the next meeting, which will be in September. Before the meeting, August inflation data will be published. 

US Inflation Analysis: It is peak inflation only until the Fed's verdict, stock rally at risk
 

Technical levels 
 

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price132.1
Today Daily Change-2.92
Today Daily Change %-2.16
Today daily open135.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.86
Daily SMA50135.15
Daily SMA100131.01
Daily SMA200122.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.2
Previous Daily Low134.67
Previous Weekly High135.5
Previous Weekly Low130.4
Previous Monthly High139.39
Previous Monthly Low132.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%134.87
Daily Pivot Point S1134.72
Daily Pivot Point S2134.43
Daily Pivot Point S3134.19
Daily Pivot Point R1135.26
Daily Pivot Point R2135.5
Daily Pivot Point R3135.79

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).