USD/JPY edges higher to near 150.80 on renewed hopes of BoJ’s dovish outlook
- USD/JPY ticks up to near 150.80 as Japan’s LDP and Innovation party signal plans to form coalition government.
- Investors expect the BoJ to follow a dovish interest rate outlook if LDP’s Takaichi becomes Prime Minister.
- The US Dollar edges higher amid easing US-China trade frictions.
The USD/JPY pair trades marginally higher to near 150.80 during the European trading session on Monday. The pair ticks up as the Japanese Yen (JPY) faces selling pressure, following hopes that Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Innovation Party will form a coalition government, which will pave the way for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan's first female Prime Minister.
Japanese Yen Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.07% | 0.17% | 0.15% | 0.16% | 0.17% | 0.02% | -0.02% | |
| EUR | -0.07% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.10% | -0.06% | -0.08% | |
| GBP | -0.17% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.00% | -0.16% | -0.18% | |
| JPY | -0.15% | -0.05% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.05% | -0.17% | -0.15% | |
| CAD | -0.16% | -0.08% | 0.02% | -0.02% | 0.08% | -0.15% | -0.17% | |
| AUD | -0.17% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.17% | -0.19% | |
| NZD | -0.02% | 0.06% | 0.16% | 0.17% | 0.15% | 0.17% | -0.02% | |
| CHF | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.15% | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.02% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
Such a scenario is unfavorable for the Japanese Yen as Takaichi is expected to announce big spending plans to stimulate the economy, a move that would restrict the Bank of Japan (BoE) from continuing on its policy-normalization path.
Takaichi has emerged as the supporter of former Premier Shinzo Abe's economic policies, which favored big spending and monetary stimulus to boost the economy.
For more cues on Japan’s interest rate outlook, investors will focus on the BoJ’s monetary policy announcement on October 30, in which the central bank is expected to hold borrowing rates steady at 0.5%.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) trades marginally higher on improving trade relations between the United States (US) and China. Trade frictions between the nations eased after President Donald Trump signaled on Friday that an additional 100% tariffs imposed on China won’t last long.
During the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, edges higher to near 98.60.
US Dollar FAQs
The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.
The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.
Author
Sagar Dua
FXStreet
Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.
