|

USD/JPY drops to 109.55 after Japan’s data dump

  • USD/JPY extends pullback amid upbeat data from Japan.
  • Optimism surrounding the US-China trade deal, increasing odds of BOJ’s sustained support for easy money keep the pair firm.
  • Trade/political headlines will entertain investors amid the year-end sparse trading.

USD/JPY steps back to 109.55 surrounding Friday’s Tokyo open. The pair recently took note of headlines data, BOJ Summary of Opinions while trimming some of its latest gains.

Mostly positive data, mixed statements from BOJ Summary of Opinions…

Japan’s data dump recently flashed positive signs with the headline inflation gauge, namely Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ex Fresh Food rising well beyond 0.6% forecast and prior to 0.8% on YoY basis during December. On the other hand, Retail Trade and the preliminary Industrial Production for November flashed mixed readings as the former lagged behind -1.7% forecast to -2.1% whereas the later improved to -0.9% MoM from -1.4% anticipated.

Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) summary of opinions for the December monthly meeting was also released side-by-side the data. The statement suggests that the policymakers cite the coexistence of both downside and upside risks with downside risks remain at high levels. They also mention that it remains difficult to be optimistic about developments in Japan's economic activity and prices on the whole.

Read: Bank of Japan's December meeting's Summary of Opinions

Recently, the BOJ Governor showed readiness to take additional monetary policy actions if the economy softens further. The recent data and BOJ Summary of Opinions seem to have cut the odds favoring such action.

On the trade/political front, comments from the US President Donald Trump and Chinese diplomat have recently shown nearness to phase-one signing and the same has boosted the market’s risk appetite. Wall Street benchmarks extended their record run with the NASDAQ closing beyond 9,000 for the first time ever.

With most data/events out, the global economic calendar has nothing major to share during the last days of 2019. As a result, markets will be keen to look for trade/political headlines for fresh impulse.

Technical Analysis

Bulls will look for a sustained break of 110.00 to aim for May month high surrounding 110.70. On the downside, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 108.70 offers strong support to the quote.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price109.53
Today Daily Change-10 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.09%
Today daily open109.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.15
Daily SMA50108.93
Daily SMA100108.04
Daily SMA200108.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.69
Previous Daily Low109.32
Previous Weekly High109.69
Previous Weekly Low109.18
Previous Monthly High109.67
Previous Monthly Low107.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.46
Daily Pivot Point S1109.4
Daily Pivot Point S2109.17
Daily Pivot Point S3109.03
Daily Pivot Point R1109.77
Daily Pivot Point R2109.91
Daily Pivot Point R3110.14

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 after RBA-speak

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Tuesday, following hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and Governor Michele Bullock. However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, which could limit the pair. The crucial Trump-Xi summit is later this week and remains in focus.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold: The $4,300 mark holds the downside…for now

Gold extends its decline for a second straight session, retreating toward the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s pullback comes amid the resumption of the buying interest in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty.

Trump meets Xi: Why markets are watching this summit so closely

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet in Washington on Thursday for a summit closely watched by markets. The meeting could determine whether the world's two largest economies extend their truce or enter a new period of uncertainty.

Energy and risk markets remain in the driver’s seat
US stock markets rallied up 2.26% (Nasdaq) yesterday with AI/tech names leading the advance. The Nasdaq even tested the all-time high reached early June. The likes of the S&P 500 and EuroStoxx50 recovered up to 1.5%. Positive risk vibes and lower energy prices supported consolidation on bond markets following the past month’s heavy losses. European yield curves bull steepened.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.