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USD/JPY drops below 108 after disappointing US PMI data

  • Business activity in the manufacturing sector continues to contract in the United States (US).
  • The US Dollar Index retraces daily rally after the disappointing data.
  • Major equity indexes in the US erase early gains.

After climbing to its highest level in two weeks at 108.46, the USD/JPY pair made a sharp U-turn in the last hour and fell into the negative territory on the daily chart after the uninspiring data from the United States weighed on the Greenback. As of writing, the pair was down 0.12% on the day at 107.94.

Dismal data hurt the USD

Although the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report published by the IHS Markit on Tuesday showed that the economic activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded at a modest pace in September, the more-relevant Institue for Supply Management's (ISM) PMI reading painted a gloomy picture for the sector.

The ISM's Manufacturing PMI in September dropped to 47.8 from 49.1 in August and missed the market expectation of 50.1 to revive recession fears. 

Commenting on the data, "The ISM manufacturing index has dropped to a 10-year low as trade worries, weak global growth and a strong dollar weigh on the sector," said ING analysts.

"Given the threat of contagion to other parts of the economy further Fed rate cuts are coming"

With the initial market reaction, the US Dollar Index, which touched its highest level in 28 months at 98.67 on Tuesday, retraced its daily rally and was last seen at 99.39, where it was virtually unchanged on a daily basis.

On Wednesday, Consumer Confidence Index data from Japan will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price107.96
Today Daily Change-0.11
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open108.07
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.57
Daily SMA50107.09
Daily SMA100107.81
Daily SMA200109.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.18
Previous Daily Low107.74
Previous Weekly High108.18
Previous Weekly Low106.96
Previous Monthly High108.48
Previous Monthly Low105.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%107.91
Daily Pivot Point S1107.82
Daily Pivot Point S2107.56
Daily Pivot Point S3107.38
Daily Pivot Point R1108.25
Daily Pivot Point R2108.43
Daily Pivot Point R3108.68

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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