|

USD/JPY: Downward momentum is beginning to ease – UOB Group

After the sharp swings, the outlook is unclear; US Dollar (USD) could trade in a range of 145.40/148.50 vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, downward momentum is beginning to ease; a breach of 148.50 would indicate that the weakness in USD has stabilised, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD can trade in a range of 145.40/148.50

24-HOUR VIEW: "We noted yesterday that USD 'has gathered momentum,' but we were of the view that it 'might not be able to break below 145.00.' USD weakened more than expected, plummeting to a low of 143.98 and then rallied sharply during the NY session (high was 148.27). After the sharp swings, the outlook is mixed. Today, USD could trade in a range of 145.40/148.50."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We have held a negative USD view since early this month. In our latest narrative from two days ago (08 Apr, spot at 147.50), we pointed out that 'the oversold weakness in USD has not stabilized.' We indicated that 'there is a chance for USD to drop below 145.00 again before the risk of another rebound increases.' Yesterday, USD dropped to 143.98 before rebounding strongly. Downward momentum is beginning to ease, and a breach of 148.50 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the weakness in USD has stabilised. Until then, there is a small chance for USD to retest the 144.00 level."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hangs close to 1.1750, with eyes on Fedspeak

EUR/USD is holding its retreat from 10-week highs near 1.1750 in the European session on Friday, capped by a modest rebound in the US Dollar.  The potential downside for the pair might be limited amid expectations of divergent Fed-ECB monetary policy outlooks. Fedspeak is awaited, 

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.3400 after mixed UK data

GBP/USD is keeping its range trade intact below 1.3400 in European trading on Friday. The UK GDP unexpectedly fell by 0.1% in October vs. a 0.1% growth expected, while the Manufacturing Production rose 0.5% over the month in the same period, missing the estimated 1% increase. Mixed UK data have little to no impact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold extends rally beyond $4,300, fresh high since October 21 amid dovish Fed bets

Gold prolongs its uptrend for the fourth straight day and climbs beyond the $4,300 mark, hitting a fresh high since October 21 during the first half of the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to attract any meaningful buyers and remains close to a two-month low, touched on Thursday, amid the Federal Reserve's dovish outlook.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.