|

USD/JPY clings to gains above 106.50 supported by rising T-bond yields

  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield adds more than 3%.
  • US Dollar Index climbs to highest level since August 1.
  • Wall Street's main indexes gain more than 1% on risk-on flows.

After closing the previous day above the 106 mark on Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair pushed higher today as the recovering market sentiment made it difficult for safe-havens such as the JPY find demand. As of writing, the pair is trading at fresh six-day highs near 106.60, adding 0.45% on a daily basis.

Easing trade tensions boost risk-appetite

Earlier today, Gao Feng, spokesman for China's commerce ministry, said they were hoping that the Trump administration would cancel the planned tariffs to avoid an escalation in the trade conflict ahead of next round of talks in Washington, which is still unclear whether or not it will take place. Later in the day, "There is a talk scheduled for today at a different level," Trump said in an interview with Fox News Radio, confirming the ongoing communication between sides.

Boosted by these developments, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield staged a sharp recovery and looks to end the day with a gain of more than 3%. Additionally, Wall Street's three main indexes are all rising more than 1% on the day to confirm the upbeat market sentiment.

Meanwhile, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis in its second estimate said that the economy expanded by 2% in the second quarter to match analysts' estimates and provided an additional boost to the Greenback. The US Dollar Index gained traction on the back of upbeat data and rising T-bond yields and is now at its highest level since August 1 at 98.50, up 0.3% on the day.

During the Asian trading hours, unemployment rate, inflation, industrial production, and retail trade data from Japan will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price106.68
Today Daily Change0.56
Today Daily Change %0.53
Today daily open106.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.21
Daily SMA50107.33
Daily SMA100108.71
Daily SMA200109.8
Levels
Previous Daily High106.23
Previous Daily Low105.65
Previous Weekly High106.74
Previous Weekly Low105.26
Previous Monthly High109.01
Previous Monthly Low107.21
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.87
Daily Pivot Point S1105.77
Daily Pivot Point S2105.42
Daily Pivot Point S3105.2
Daily Pivot Point R1106.35
Daily Pivot Point R2106.58
Daily Pivot Point R3106.93

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).