|

USD/JPY: BoJ puts the fate of the Yen in the hands of the Fed or the Dollar – Commerzbank

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left monetary policy setting unchanged. Subsequently, USD/JPY took a leg higher. Economists at Commerzbank analyze Yen’s outlook.

USD/JPY will only be driven by the Dollar side

The BoJ kept its monetary policy unchanged and showed no signs of moving in the direction of ‘less ultra-expansionary’.

USD/JPY will really only be driven by the Dollar side. In other words, in the end, it will never be about Yen strength, but always about Dollar weakness when USD/JPY falls (for example, because Fed rate cut expectations are rising, as is the case now). And that the BoJ can only hope for Dollar weakness if it wants a stronger Yen.

At the same time, all efforts to intervene against possible Yen weakness, should the Dollar appreciate again at some point, will ultimately always be doomed to failure. By hesitating for (too) long, the BoJ has taken away a lot of room for maneuver in the future and put the fate of the Yen in the hands of the Fed or the Dollar.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 early in the day, following the BoE decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which was much softer than anticipated. The US Dollar, however, managed to regain the ground lost during US trading hours.

Gold edges lower despite Fed rate cut hopes on cooling US inflation

Gold price declines to below $4,350 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal edges lower due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face sharp volatility as US posts lowest inflation rate in years

The latest inflation report released on Thursday in the United States sparked a wave of volatility in the crypto markets. The US Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% YoY in November, below forecasts of 3.1%, and lower than September's 3.0% reading, according to the Bureau of Labour Statistics.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.