|

USD/JPY: BoJ meddling, strong JGB yields tease Yen buyers above 143.00, US ISM Services PMI eyed

  • USD/JPY seesaws at three-week high despite latest retreat.
  • 10-year JGB yields jump to highest since 2014, BoJ announces unscheduled no-limit bond-buying.
  • US Dollar bulls take a breather after US credit rating downgrade, ADP Employment Change favored buyers the previous day.
  • A slew of US data eyed for clear directions, yields are the key.

USD/JPY prints mild losses around 143.20 as Japanese authorities take measures to defend the currency during early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair also takes clues from the market’s cautious optimism and the US Dollar’s retreat ahead of multiple US statistics.

Earlier in the day, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a wider tolerance limit for the benchmark 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) from 0.5% to 1.0%. The move fuelled the JGB yields to the highest level since 2014.

To control the JPY moves, the BoJ also announced an unscheduled bond-buying of 5-year and 10-year notes with no limits.

Recently, Japanese Chief Cabinet Hirokazu Matsuno repeated his favorite statements suggesting the watch on the FX moves, as well as conveying confidence in the BoJ.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats from a three-week high as the market stabilizes after a volatile day. That said, DXY cheered the risk-off mood and benefited from the strong US Treasury bond yields on Wednesday. Also likely to have favored the US Dollar Index bulls were the strong US ADP Employment Change numbers for July.

On Wednesday, Fitch Ratings’ downgrade to the US government credit rating flagged fears of the US default and weighed on the sentiment. Further, US ADP Employment Change for July rose past 189K markets forecasts to 324K while the previous readings were revised down to 455K, which in turn added strength to the Greenback. Furthermore, the US Treasury Department raised possibilities of testing demand for the US bonds after the rating cut by fueling the weekly longer-term debt issuance, which in turn propelled the bond coupons and the US Dollar.

It’s worth noting that the JPY’s haven status and hawkish concerns about BoJ prod the USD/JPY bulls the previous day.

Alternatively, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and White House (WH) Economic Adviser Jared Bernstein defended the credibility of the US Treasury bonds late Wednesday. The policymakers also vouched for the US economic strength after Fitch Ratings’ cited such concerns as the catalysts for their downgrade to the US government credit ratings.

The same could be linked to the latest stabilization in the market. With this, US 10-year Treasury bond yields rose to the highest level since November 2022 whereas the Wall Street benchmarks also closed in the red. That said, the S&P500 Futures remain sidelined at a two-week low after declining in the last two consecutive days.

Looking ahead, US ISM Services PMI, Factory Orders, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and quarterly readings of Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs will be important to watch for USD/JPY traders. Above all, concerns for the BoJ’s hawkish move can check the buyers unless witnessing strong prints from US data.

Technical analysis

Wednesday’s pin bar candlestick on the daily chart prods USD/JPY bulls unless the pair crosses 143.55 hurdle on a daily closing basis.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price143.27
Today Daily Change-0.06
Today Daily Change %-0.04%
Today daily open143.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.73
Daily SMA50141.21
Daily SMA100137.7
Daily SMA200136.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.48
Previous Daily Low142.23
Previous Weekly High141.82
Previous Weekly Low138.07
Previous Monthly High144.91
Previous Monthly Low137.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%143
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.71
Daily Pivot Point S1142.55
Daily Pivot Point S2141.76
Daily Pivot Point S3141.3
Daily Pivot Point R1143.8
Daily Pivot Point R2144.26
Daily Pivot Point R3145.05

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD appears supported by the 200-day SMA, for now

Following an early pullback to multi-week lows near 1.1670, EUR/USD now manages to reclaim the 1.1700 region as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The steep retracement in spot follows the equally strong move higher in the US Dollar, as investors continue to assess the geopolitical landscape in the wake of the US and Israel attacks on Iran.

 

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold eases some ground, approaches $5,300

Gold now surrenders part of the earlier advance, reshifting its attenton to the $5,300 zone per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Indeed, the yellow metal’s firm performance appears propped up by incresing geopolitical jitters in the Middle East, which at the same time fuels the demand for the safe-haven space.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine lifts ETH holdings to 4.47M, Lee predicts geopolitical impact on markets

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion (BMNR) bought another 50,928 ETH last week, sending its stash of the top altcoin to 4.47 million ETH worth about $8.9 billion at the time of publication.

The Fed is finally talking about AI – Here's why it matters for the US Dollar

AI is moving from earnings calls into the heart of monetary policy discussions, forcing Federal Reserve officials to confront a new question: How to act if AI reshapes inflation, employment and interest rates at the same time?

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.