|

USD/JPY Asia Price Forecast: Greenback bounces back from April lows, trades near 107.40 level

  • USD/JPY turns higher despite broad-based USD weakness. 
  • The next major hurdle on the way up can be the 108.00 figure. 
 

USD/JPY daily chart

 
USD/JPY is bouncing back from the April lows nearing 3-day highs. USD/JPY is moving up amid broad-based USD weakness. 
  

USD/JPY four-hour chart

 
USD/JPY is regaining the 50 and 100 SMAs on the four-hour chart as the market is picking up steam. The first major hurdle can be located near the 108.00 figure and the 108.70 resistance level. Pullbacks down could find support near the 107.00 and 106.35 level. However, a breach below the 106.35 support can see the market turn lower again towards the 105.70 and 105.00 figure.  
 

Additional key levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price107.45
Today Daily Change0.78
Today Daily Change %0.73
Today daily open106.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.86
Daily SMA50108.13
Daily SMA100108.79
Daily SMA200108.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High106.9
Previous Daily Low106.36
Previous Weekly High108.04
Previous Weekly Low107.28
Previous Monthly High111.72
Previous Monthly Low101.18
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.69
Daily Pivot Point S1106.39
Daily Pivot Point S2106.11
Daily Pivot Point S3105.85
Daily Pivot Point R1106.93
Daily Pivot Point R2107.18
Daily Pivot Point R3107.46

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD struggles below 0.7100, lowest since August 4 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.7100 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on a Fed rate hike in October. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the currency pair as traders now look to the RBA policy meeting on Tuesday.

USD/JPY climbs back to 157.75 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week, reversing part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's relative dovish-leaning tone caps the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further support the pair.

Gold hangs near monthly low, around $4,250 as Fed hike bets and Iran risks underpin USD

Gold attracts fresh sellers at the start of a new week, sliding back closer to $4,250 and the lower boundary of the monthly range amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction and undermining the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, await weakness below $4,235 before placing fresh bets.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.