USD/JPY: After a forgettable April, will volatility return?


  • USD/JPY consolidates modestly daily losses around 111.35. 
  • US Dollar corrects lower across the board ahead of the FOMC meeting. 

The USD/JPY pair moved further to the downside on Tuesday, still on a correction that started last week from the levels near 112.50, the highest in four months. It bottomed at 111.22 during the European session and since then it has been moving between 111.45 and 111.25, modestly lower for the day. 

It continues to move with a bearish bias after being rejected from above 112.00. Today’s decline took place amid a retreat of the US Dollar across the board. Measured by the DXY, it is suffering the biggest daily loss since March 20, as it broke below 97.85 and fell to 97.45.

The greenback is showing weakness ahead of the FOMC meeting. The US central bank will announce tomorrow its decision on monetary policy. No change in rates is expected.  “We expect the May FOMC meeting outcome to be neutral on the policy stance; we anticipate additional operational guidance, which could be liquidity-positive but would not have any implications for the policy stance”, said Sonia Meskin, Economist at Standard Chartered.

A very quiet April 

During the month that ends today, the USD/JPY pair moved in a range of less than 160 pips, among the lowest in decades. It reached levels last seen in December of last year, but slightly above the previous highs and only to pullback modestly afterwards. 

The pair holds a bullish tone but at the same time no strength for rising clearly above 112.00. The signals of a move lower are rising and as the pair consolidates below the 20-day moving average. 

Volatility is likely to pick up in the coming days, considering what the economic calendar shows and also taking into account that the current price range is extremely low by historic standards.

Levels  

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 111.36
Today Daily Change -0.29
Today Daily Change % -0.26
Today daily open 111.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 111.71
Daily SMA50 111.33
Daily SMA100 110.72
Daily SMA200 111.5
Levels
Previous Daily High 111.9
Previous Daily Low 111.54
Previous Weekly High 112.4
Previous Weekly Low 111.36
Previous Monthly High 112.14
Previous Monthly Low 109.71
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 111.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 111.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 111.49
Daily Pivot Point S2 111.34
Daily Pivot Point S3 111.13
Daily Pivot Point R1 111.85
Daily Pivot Point R2 112.06
Daily Pivot Point R3 112.22

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures