|

USD Index Price Analysis: Extra range bound on the cards

  • DXY alternates gains with losses in the low-106.00s.
  • Extra consolidation appears in store in the very near term.

DXY trades in an inconclusive fashion around the 106.20-106.30 band at the end of the week.

It seems the index has moved into a consolidative phase for the time being. Occasional bullish attempts, in the meantime, continue to target the weekly high of 106.78 (October 12) prior to the 2023 top of 107.34 (October 3). On the downside, the monthly low of 105.53 (October 12) is expected to hold the downside.

So far, while above the key 200-day SMA, today at 103.29, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price106.23
Today Daily Change28
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open106.23
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.3
Daily SMA50105.04
Daily SMA100103.65
Daily SMA200103.28
 
Levels
Previous Daily High106.67
Previous Daily Low105.96
Previous Weekly High106.79
Previous Weekly Low105.54
Previous Monthly High106.84
Previous Monthly Low103.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.4
Daily Pivot Point S1105.9
Daily Pivot Point S2105.57
Daily Pivot Point S3105.18
Daily Pivot Point R1106.62
Daily Pivot Point R2107
Daily Pivot Point R3107.33

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold finds relief as Oil tumbles on positive US-Iran headlines

Gold extends its recovery during American trading hours on Monday, supported by falling Oil prices following positive headlines on US-Iran talks. The metal regains ground after hitting a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

Bitcoin braces for US midterm elections as historical sell-offs revive downside concerns
Bitcoin (BTC) braces for the impact of the US midterm elections, just a week after the $6 billion hack from Binance. Historically, congressional elections have negatively affected not just the president’s party but also Bitcoin. In the last 22 midterms, the ruling party has gained House seats only twice, while the three most recent elections coincided with Bitcoin’s bear market bottoms.
Why strong US growth could not stop the bond rally and AI selloff

The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.



The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.