|

USD Index Price Analysis: Another drop below 103.00 is not ruled out

  • DXY attempts a decent bounce and retakes 103.00 and beyond.
  • Next on the downside appears the June low near 102.70.

Despite the ongoing rebound, DXY remains under pressure around the 103.00 region on Thursday.                                                                                             

In case the index breaches the monthly low near 103.00, it could then pave the way for another visit to the monthly low of 102.66 (June 14) prior to the interim 55-day SMA at 102.56.

Looking at the broader picture, while below the 200-day SMA at 105.32 the outlook for the index is expected to remain negative.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price103.19
Today Daily Change46
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open103.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.76
Daily SMA50102.61
Daily SMA100103.05
Daily SMA200105.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High103.4
Previous Daily Low102.66
Previous Weekly High104.4
Previous Weekly Low103.29
Previous Monthly High104.7
Previous Monthly Low101.03
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%102.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%103.12
Daily Pivot Point S1102.65
Daily Pivot Point S2102.28
Daily Pivot Point S3101.91
Daily Pivot Point R1103.39
Daily Pivot Point R2103.77
Daily Pivot Point R3104.14

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY extends retreat below 158.50 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is dropping below 158.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI inflation print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the pair.

Gold: Bears struggle to breach below $4,150

Gold now gives away its initial gains and resumes its decline, revisiting the $4,160 region per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal’s pullback comes despite the fresh downward trend in the Greenback in combination with a mixed performance of US Treasury yields across the board and easing tensions on the geopolitical front.

Bitcoin rebounds despite cautious sentiment

Bitcoin rebounds over 2%, trading above $83,500 on Tuesday, recovering the previous day’s losses. Persistent geopolitical tensions and mixed signals continue to weigh on risk appetite, keeping investors cautious despite BTC’s recovery.

US – Midterm update: Democratic lead holds three weeks before election

With three weeks until the US midterm election on 3 November, prediction markets are more or less unchanged. Polymarket continues to put the probability of a Democratic sweep at 60-65%. The House is seen as a fairly safe Democratic win, with a probability of around 90%.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?