The US Dollar Index is close to testing the recent intra-day low from 15th November at 105.34. However, economists at MUFG believe that the USD sell-off does not have too much further to go.
FOMC minutes fail to provide conviction for higher terminal rate
“The release of the FOMC minutes last night in our view failed to provide enough conviction to the belief expressed by Fed Chair Powell that the terminal rate for the fed funds would need to be higher than the September media dot implied (4.625%).”
“The US Dollar will remain vulnerable to speculation of an end to the tightening cycle. The 2s10s continues to invert and is indicative of a growing belief that inflation risks are receding but with the Fed not in a position to pause. But the escalation of covid infections to record high levels in China and recession in Europe also mean there are limits to the scale of USD selling that should mean this long Dollar squeeze does not have too much further to go.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.