|

USD/CNY Price Analysis: Extends bounce off June 2018 low on downbeat China CPI

  • USD/CNY refreshes intraday high as China CPI shrank for the first time since October 2009.
  • 50-HMA, weekly resistance line probe buyers, sellers await fresh multi-month low for entries.

USD/CNY seesaws around intraday high of 6.5346, currently near 6.5335, during early Wednesday. The pair jumped to refresh the day’s peak after China’s November month Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

While CPI turned negative for the first time since late-2009, PPI recovered from a -1.8% forecast to -1.5% YoY.

Read: China's November Consumer Price Index weaker at -0.5%, first decline since Oct 2009

Even so, the pair needs to cross a confluence of 50-HMA and a falling trend line from Friday, near 6.5340/50, to convince buyers to attack last Wednesday’s low near 6.5530. Also acting as an upside barrier is the 200-HMA level of 6.5627.

Alternatively, the 6.5300 threshold and the recent low, also the lowest since June 25, 2018, around 6.5210, will entertain the sellers during fresh downside.

In a case where the USD/CNY bears dominate past-6.5210, the early January 2018 low near 6.4750 may gain the market’s attention.

USD/CNY hourly chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.5339
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.01%
Today daily open6.5332
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.573
Daily SMA506.6548
Daily SMA1006.7732
Daily SMA2006.9185
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.5391
Previous Daily Low6.521
Previous Weekly High6.5945
Previous Weekly Low6.5273
Previous Monthly High6.7496
Previous Monthly Low6.5404
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.5322
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.5279
Daily Pivot Point S16.5231
Daily Pivot Point S26.513
Daily Pivot Point S36.505
Daily Pivot Point R16.5412
Daily Pivot Point R26.5492
Daily Pivot Point R36.5593

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

160.80: Japanese Yen remains close to nearly two-year lows

USD/JPY inches lower after four days of gains, trading around 160.60 during the Asian hours. The USD/JPY pair surged to 160.80 the previous day, marking its highest level since July 2024 and significantly heightening speculation that Japanese authorities could soon intervene to support the struggling Yen.

Australian Dollar remains in positive territory after paring recent gains

AUD/USD pares its daily gains, remaining in the positive territory and trading around 0.7010 during the European hours. The pair appreciated as the Australian Dollar received support from prevailing hawkish sentiment surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy outlook.

Gold adds to recent losses, remains below $4,250

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday and remains in negative territory below $4,250 per troy ounce. The precious metal finds some support from the easing of tensions in the Middle East, which has helped stabilise market sentiment, but broad-based US Dollar strength following the Fed meeting continues to weigh on price action.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP pare losses on increasing bets of Fed tighter monetary policy

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly moderating downwards on Thursday, as market participants assess the impact of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy stance.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.