|

USD/CNH risks a deeper pullback near term – UOB

According to UOB Group’s Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Rates Strategist Victor Yong, USD/CNH could grind lower to the 7.1500 region in the short term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “The strong rebound in USD to 7.2686 came as a surprise (we were expecting USD to weaken further). We view the price movement as part of an on-going consolidation and expect USD to trade within a range of 7.2150/7.2650.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (27 Oct, spot at 7.1870). As highlighted, the recent USD strength has ended. The large pullback on Wednesday has room to extend to 7.1500, possibly 7.1300. However, a break of 7.2850 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the pullback is not extending lower.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold drifts lower as traders look to US CPI report for Fed rate cues amid Iran uncertainty

Gold meets with fresh supply, reversing a part of the previous day's strong move up to the $4,150 resistance zone amid a modest US Dollar uptick. Against the backdrop of firming US Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran offer some support to the safe-haven Greenback. However, USD bulls seem hesitant and opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.