USD/CNH risks a deeper drop below 7.2390 – UOB

Further downside in USD/CNH appears likely on a breach of 7.2390, argue Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.
Key Quotes
24-hour view: USD fell briefly to 7.2392 last Friday before rebounding strongly to end the day largely unchanged at 7.2715 (-0.05%). The price movements did not result in any significant increase in momentum. Today, USD is likely to trade sideways, probably in a range of 7.2460/7.2860.
Next 1-3 weeks: Our latest narrative was from 24 Aug (spot at 7.2840), wherein USD is likely to trade in a range of 7.2500/7.3300 for the time being. Last Friday (01 Sep), USD fell below 7.2500 (low of 7.2392) before rebounding to close at 7.2715 (-0.05%). Despite no significant increase in downward momentum, the breach of 7.2500 has slightly increased the downside risk. However, USD must break and stay below 7.2390 before a sustained decline is likely. The chance of USD breaking clearly below 7.2390 will remain intact as long as USD stays below 7.3000 in the next few days.
Author

Pablo Piovano
FXStreet
Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

















