|

USD/CNH retraces from record high amid US-China trade war

  • USD/CNH surged to the record high at the week’s start as trade war weighed on the US Dollar (USD) and commodity-linked currencies.
  • Risk aversion remains in play amid trade war, Hong Kong issues joining PBOC’s preference for weaker Chinese Yuan (CNY).

USD/CNH fails to hold on to early-day recovery to the fresh record high of 7.1838 as it declines to 7.1590 by the press time of Asian session on Monday.

Updates from the Jackson Hole Symposium failed to supersede the US-China trade war as both the global powerhouses announced fresh tariffs on each others’ goods on Friday.  China levied $75 billion of the US goods, with autos bearing 25% tariffs and the rests ranging between 5% and 10%.

In response, the US President Trump mentioned that 10% levy on $300 billion of Chinese goods would be raised to 15% from September 01, for some cases it is December 15, and the existing 25% levy on $250 billion of Chinese goods would rise to 30% from October 01.

Also, Chinese media’s comments over President Trump’s “regret” pushed him to urge the US companies to leave the dragon nation while also saying that he regrets not levying higher tariffs.

On early Monday, news was also live, via China’s Xinhua, that the dragon nation is close to Hong Kong intervention, an issue the US doesn’t prefer.

That said, the US treasury yields are making the rounds to multi-year lows as markets turn risk-averse.

Adding to the pair’s upside could be the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) sustained preference for a weaker reference rate for the onshore Yuan rate to 7.0570 versus Friday’s 7.0572.

Technical Analysis

Unless breaking 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) near 7.000, any downside can only be termed as a pullback.

    1. R3 7.2104 
    2. R2 7.1746 
    3. R1 7.1549 
  1. PP 7.1191
    1. S1  7.0994
    2. S2  7.0636
    3. S3  7.0439

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD loses ground below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair loses traction near 1.1840 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders brace for the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes for signals on future rate cuts, which will be released later on Wednesday. 

When is the UK CPI data and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom Consumer Price Index data for January is scheduled to be published today at 07:00 GMT. GBP/USD trades slightly lower at around 1.3556 as of writing. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average trends lower at 1.3593 and continues to cap rebounds. Price holds beneath this gauge, maintaining a short-term bearish bias.

Gold: Is the $5,000 level back in sight?

Gold snaps a two-day downtrend, as recovery gathers traction toward $5,000 on Wednesday. The US Dollar recovers from the overnight sell-off as rebalancing trades resume ahead of Fed Minutes. The 38.2% Fib support holds on the daily chart for now. What does that mean for Gold?

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.