|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Refreshes seven-week top on crossing 6.4700 key hurdle

  • USD/CNH rises for the ninth consecutive day, attacks intraday top.
  • Clear break of 100-day SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement favor bulls.
  • 61.8% Fibo can test the bulls amid overbought RSI conditions.

USD/CNH picks up bids to 6.4875, up 0.10% intraday, while refreshing the highest levels since early May amid Wednesday’s Asian session.

The Chinese currency (CNH) pair remains on the front foot for the ninth day in a row while justifying the upside break of 100-day SMA and 5% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April–May declines.

Although sustained crossing of the key hurdle, now support, favor USD/CNH bulls, overbought RSI conditions may trigger the quote’s pullback around 61.8% Fibo. level close to 6.4975.

If at all, the cross-currency pair stays firm beyond 6.4975, the 6.5000 psychological magnet will be crucial to watch for the bulls.

Meanwhile, the pair’s short-term pullback will be tested by the stated support confluence around 6.4700, a break of which will have an additional downside filter in the form of two-month-old horizontal support around 6.4600.

It should, however, be noted that the USD/CNH weakness below 6.4600 will make it vulnerable to recall the early month tops near 6.4100 on the chart.

USD/CNH daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.4873
Today Daily Change0.0063
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open6.481
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.406
Daily SMA506.4415
Daily SMA1006.4697
Daily SMA2006.5337
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.4862
Previous Daily Low6.463
Previous Weekly High6.4654
Previous Weekly Low6.3902
Previous Monthly High6.493
Previous Monthly Low6.3524
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.4773
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.4719
Daily Pivot Point S16.4673
Daily Pivot Point S26.4536
Daily Pivot Point S36.4442
Daily Pivot Point R16.4904
Daily Pivot Point R26.4998
Daily Pivot Point R36.5135

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).