USD/CNH Price Analysis: Pullback from fortnight-old resistance eyes 100-SMA retest


  • USD/CNH takes offers to renew intraday low, snaps two-day uptrend at weekly top.
  • China’s Industrial Profits rose 3.5% during January-April versus 8.5% prior.
  • Overbought RSI, key hurdles triggered the latest retreat suggesting further weakness towards 100-SMA.
  • Previous resistance from early acts as an extra filter to the south, bulls need to break 6.7900 to retake control.

USD/CNH remains on the back foot around the intraday low of 6.7515 as sellers cheer the broad US dollar weakness, by also ignoring the downbeat China data during Friday’s Asian session.

That said, China’s Industrial Profits for the January-April period dropped to 3.5% versus 8.5% prior whereas the figures for April slumped to -8.5% versus 12.2% previous gains.

Technically, multiple levels marked since May 12, near 6.7860-7900, joined overbought RSI conditions to trigger the latest AUD/USD weakness.

Also keeping the sellers hopeful is the pair’s inability to cross the previous support line from late April, around 6.7750 by the press time.

The quote’s latest weakness eyes the 100-SMA level of 6.7390. However, the previous resistance line from early May, close to 6.7100, could test the bears afterward.

Should USD/CNH prices drop below 6.7100, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of late April to early May upside, near 6.6575, will be in focus.

USD/CNH: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 6.7664
Today Daily Change -0.0030
Today Daily Change % -0.04%
Today daily open 6.7694
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 6.7219
Daily SMA50 6.5394
Daily SMA100 6.4437
Daily SMA200 6.4286
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 6.772
Previous Daily Low 6.7012
Previous Weekly High 6.8206
Previous Weekly Low 6.6726
Previous Monthly High 6.694
Previous Monthly Low 6.3512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.7449
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.7283
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.7231
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.6768
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.6524
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.7938
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.8182
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.8645

 

 

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