USD/CNH: Mild rebound risk – OCBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

USD/CNH traded a low of 7.0710 last Friday following the break below 7.10 psychological level, OCBC’s FX analyst Christopher Wong notes.

It’s appreciation time for USD/CNH

“Market chatters of exporters caught long USD, rushing to offload after the pair broke key levels and month-end distortion. Daily momentum is flat while RSI shows signs of turning higher near oversold conditions. Rebound risk is not ruled out but technical levels can be breached if the USD bear trend continues.”

“Ongoing market chatters of USD conversion flows from exporters, funds may see bigger slippage if there is a panic rush and typically the break of downside key level can accelerate this move. Potential unwinding of Trump bets/hedges may also be another driver adding to the sell-off in USD/CNH. Key support at 7.07/7.08. If broken puts next support at 7.03, 7 levels (major support). Resistance at 7.14.”

“We will also pay close attention to USD/CNY daily fix for gauge on how comfortable policymakers are with regards to the pace of RMB appreciation. Today’s fix was set at 7.1027 even though USD/CNH was trading around 7.09. This may imply that policymakers are trying to slow the pace of appreciation this time.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data.

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday.

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.