|

USD/CNH: Likely to recover to 6.9805 – UOB Group

There is scope for US Dollar (USD) to recover to 6.9805; a continued rise is unlikely. In the longer run, deeply oversold conditions and waning momentum suggest the downside potential could be limited to a test of 6.9590, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downside potential might be limited to a test of 6.9590

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD fell to a low of 6.9662 last Friday and then recovered to close largely unchanged at 6.9709 (-0.06%). USD continued to recover in the early Asian session today. While it is premature to expect a continued rise, there is scope for USD to rise toward 6.9805. Support levels are at 6.9690 and 6.9650."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "The sharp decline in USD last month appears to be overextended. Although there is no clear sign of stabilisation yet, deeply oversold conditions and waning downward momentum, suggests the downside potential could be limited to a test of 6.9590. Conversely, on the upside, if USD breaks above 6.9950 (‘strong resistance’ level), it would indicate that the weakness in USD is stabilising."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off multi-month low, nears 0.6900

AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains capped below 159.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.

Gold puts the $4,000 mark to the test

Gold now accelerates its daily correction, challenging the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s continuation of the downward trend comes against the backdrop of a robust performance of the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields across the board and rising bets of extra rate hikes by the Fed.

Bitcoin Bull Score falls to 20 as USDT supply shrinks – CryptoQuant
Bitcoin's (BTC) market indicators have turned bearish at the same time, raising concerns that the top crypto could face a deeper correction despite historical similarities to previous market bottoms. In a report published Wednesday, CryptoQuant noted that its Bull Score Index dropped from 90 on October 13 to 20 in less than four weeks, reflecting a sharp deterioration in market conditions.
The Japanese Yen is doing something it hasn't done in ten weeks

USD/JPY climbs above the 159.00 resistance level, extending its advance on Wednesday, and bringing the Japanese Yen back toward its weakest levels in ten weeks amid renewed strength in the US Dollar. The move reflects a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve interest rate expectations following hawkish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation data.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.