|

USD/CNH: Likely to drop below 7.1500 – UOB Group

There is potential for US Dollar (USD) to drop below 7.1500 against Chinese Yuan (CNH); it is unclear whether there is sufficient momentum for it to reach 7.1450. In the longer run, downward momentum has increased further; if USD breaks below 7.1450, the next level to monitor is 7.1300, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward momentum has increased further

24-HOUR VIEW: "We expected USD to 'trade in a range of 7.1590/7.1780' yesterday. USD subsequently traded between 7.1582 and 7.1706. USD closed at 7.1584 before declining in the early Asian trade today. Given the increasing momentum, there is potential for USD to drop below 7.1500 today. However, it is unclear for now whether there is sufficient momentum for USD to reach 7.1450. On the upside, resistance levels are at 7.1630 and 7.1670."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Wednesday (25 Jun, spot at 7.1680), we highlighted that 'there has been a tentative buildup in momentum, and USD is likely to edge lower to 7.1450.' Yesterday, USD dropped to a low of 7.1582. Downward momentum has increased further, and if USD breaks below 7.1450, the next level to monitor is 7.1300. We will maintain our view as long as the ‘strong resistance’ at 7.1790 (level previously at 7.1950) is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).