|

USD/CHF slides to 2-week lows below parity amid broad USD weakness

  • US Dollar Index extends slide ahead of FOMC meeting.
  • Investors are possibly pricing a downgrade to the number of rate hike expectations in 2019.
  • Wall Street looks to open the day modestly higher.

The USD/CHF pair continued to push lower on Tuesday and touched its lowest since March 5 at 0.9994. As of writing, the pair was trading at 0.9998, dropping 0.15% on the day and posting daily losses for the sixth time in the last seven trading days.

The unabated selling pressure surrounding the dollar ahead of tomorrow's critical FOMC announcements continue to weigh on the pair. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, slumped to a fresh 18-day low of 96.29 earlier in the session and was last seen losing 0.2% at 96.33. The lack of significant macroeconomic data releases suggests that the currency's market valuation is being impacted by the FOMC expectations.

Previewing the event, "We believe the distribution around the median projected policy rate (‘dot plot’) in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will be important. A tighter distribution around the median would be a dovish signal to the markets," Standard Chartered analysts said in a recently published report. 

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Futures is up 0.4% on the day, signalling toward a positive opening in major equity indexes in the U.S., which could hurt the demand for safe havens and help the pair limit its losses. 

Technical levels to consider

With a daily close below 1.0000/1.0005 (parity/50-DMA), the pair could extend its slide toward 0.9960 (Mar. 1 low) and 0.9925 (Feb. 28 low). On the upside, resistances are located at 1.0030 (20-DMA), 1.0085 (Mar. 13 high) and 1.0125 (Mar. 7 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water above 1.1850 amid thin trading

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day. 

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK and US macro data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.365 in Monday's European trading. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate within key ranges as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been trading sideways within key ranges following the massive correction. Meanwhile, XRP recovers slightly, breaking above the key resistance zone. The top three cryptocurrencies hint at a potential short-term recovery, with momentum indicators showing fading bearish signs.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.