|

USD/CHF remains sideways near 0.8850 ahead of US Factory Orders

  • USD/CHF pair remains flat in a tight range of around 0.8850. 
  • The Swiss economy remained stagnant in the second quarter. 
  • Markets speculate Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold an interest rate at its September meeting.
  • Investors will keep an eye on the US Factory Orders MoM ahead of the US ISM Services PMI. 

The USD/CHF pair remains sideways in a narrow trading band between 0.8700 - 0.88450 region during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of USD against six other major currencies, consolidates its gains above the 104.00 mark, near a monthly high. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.8848, gaining 0.06% on the day.

The Swiss economy remained stagnant in the second quarter. Data released from the Swiss Statistics on Monday showed that the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 dropped to 0.0% QoQ, below the market consensus of 0.1% and the previous quarter's reading of 0.3%. On an annual basis, the growth number remained at 0.5% as expected. 

The US Dollar (USD) is weakened against its rivals due to risk appetite. On Monday, the Chinese government plans to implement more measures, including the easing of restrictions on the purchase of homes, to stimulate China's faltering economy. However, the release of the Chinese Caixin Services PMI due later on Tuesday could offer some hints about the Chinese economy. The weaker-than-expected data could trigger the fear of economic slowdown in the second’s world largest economies and might benefit the traditional safe-haven Swiss franc (CHF).

US economic data last week displayed mixed results. August's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) came in at 187K, better than market expectations of 170K and the previous reading of 157K. Nevertheless, the Unemployment Rate fell substantially to 3.8%, compared to the market consensus and the previous rate of 3.5%. The US Manufacturing PMI came in at 47.6 versus 46.4 previously and exceeded expectations of 47.0.

That said, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated at the Jackson Hole Symposium that a potential additional rate hike would depend on incoming data. However, Market players speculate on a less aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) stance following the mixed economic data results. The possibility of holding an interest rate at the September meeting remains at 93%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This, in turn, might cap the further upside in the Greenback and act as a headwind in the USD/CHF pair.

Looking ahead, the US Factory Orders MoM for July will be due later in the day. Market players will shift their focus to the US ISM Services PMI for August on Wednesday. Also, the Swiss monthly Unemployment Rate will be released on Thursday. These figures could give a clear direction for the USD/CHF pair.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.885
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open0.8844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8802
Daily SMA500.8781
Daily SMA1000.888
Daily SMA2000.9064
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8862
Previous Daily Low0.8833
Previous Weekly High0.8865
Previous Weekly Low0.8745
Previous Monthly High0.8876
Previous Monthly Low0.869
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8844
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8851
Daily Pivot Point S10.883
Daily Pivot Point S20.8817
Daily Pivot Point S30.8801
Daily Pivot Point R10.886
Daily Pivot Point R20.8876
Daily Pivot Point R30.8889

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).