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USD/CHF remains range-bound around 0.8770 ahead of Swiss data, US Retail Sales

  • USD/CHF remains confined in a narrow range near the 0.8770 area.
  • Investors worry about the exacerbated trade war tensions between the US and China.
  • The US Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes will be in the spotlight.

The USD/CHF pair remains range-bound around 0.8770 during the early Asian session on Monday. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of USD against six other major currencies, extends its upside just below 103.00 and trades in a weekly positive note for four weeks in a row. The major remains capped around the 0.8800 barrier ahead of the Swiss Producer and Import Price Index for July.

On Friday, the US Bureau of Labour Statistics revealed that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand YoY rose 0.8% in July from 0.1% in June. The figure was higher than the market expectation of 0.7%. Additionally, the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for July fell to 71.2 from 71.6, better than 71 expected. Finally, UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations declined to 2.9% for August versus 3.0% estimated and prior.

On the Swiss front, investors worry about the exacerbated trade war tensions between the US and China, the world’s two largest economies. Following President Joe Biden's decision to limit certain US technology investments in China, US investors expressed concern that Beijing might retaliate or refrain from purchasing American technology. Investors will keep an eye on the headlines in the US-China relationship. The renewed tension might benefit the safe-haven Swiss Franc and act as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair.

Last week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate came in at 1.9% in July, matching expectations. The figure remained unchanged compared to the June reading and marked its lowest level since October 2022.

Moving on, the release of US Retail Sales will be due on Tuesday. The figure is expected to rise from 0.2% to 0.4% on a monthly basis. Market participants will closely watch the FOMC minutes and the Fed officials’s comments for the Jackson Hole Symposium. Also, the Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) for July will be released later this week. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the USD/CHF pair.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8769
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open0.8765
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8697
Daily SMA500.8842
Daily SMA1000.8921
Daily SMA2000.9124
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8781
Previous Daily Low0.8735
Previous Weekly High0.8783
Previous Weekly Low0.869
Previous Monthly High0.9005
Previous Monthly Low0.8552
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8753
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8763
Daily Pivot Point S10.874
Daily Pivot Point S20.8715
Daily Pivot Point S30.8695
Daily Pivot Point R10.8786
Daily Pivot Point R20.8806
Daily Pivot Point R30.8831

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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