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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Surrenders the 200-DMA as sellers eye 0.9200

  • USD/CHF broke below the 200-DMA, ending the major’s upward bias.
  • In the near term, the USD/CHF is neutral to downwards, but buyers reclaiming 0.9450 exerts upward pressure on the major.

The USD/CHF stumbles for the sixth consecutive day and breaks support provided by the 200-DMA at 0.9427, shifting the major’s bias downwards, with sellers reclaiming the latter, extending the USD/CHF losses in the week to 2.17%. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9408.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, although breaking below the 200-day EMA, the USD/CHF risks are skewed to the upside. Thursday’s price action formed a hammer, preceded by a downtrend. That said, the major might re-test the 200-day EMA as a resistance level. If the latter holds, that could pave the way towards the March 31 low at 0.9194.

USD/CHF Daily chart

Zooming into the one-hour scale, the USD//CHF chart portrays the pair as neutral-to-downwards, but a positive divergence between the RSI and price action suggests an upward correction is on the cards. If that scenario plays out, the USD/CHF first resistance would be the confluence of the 50-hour EMA and the R1 pivot at 0.9447. Break above will expose the R2 daily pivot at 0.9484, followed by 0.9500.

USD/CHF 1-hour chart

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9411
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.20
Today daily open0.943
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9619
Daily SMA500.9675
Daily SMA1000.9631
Daily SMA2000.9429
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9545
Previous Daily Low0.9394
Previous Weekly High0.9652
Previous Weekly Low0.9471
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9452
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9487
Daily Pivot Point S10.9368
Daily Pivot Point S20.9305
Daily Pivot Point S30.9216
Daily Pivot Point R10.9519
Daily Pivot Point R20.9608
Daily Pivot Point R30.9671

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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