|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Slips on US recession woes, capped by the 100-DMA

  • USD/CHF takes a hit as weaker-than-expected US economic data spur recession fears, driving the Swiss Franc up.
  • From a technical perspective, the USD/CHF pair is neutrally biased, awaiting a fresh catalyst for definitive market direction.
  • Amid mixed signals from market oscillators, expectations of a hawkish Swiss National Bank may provide a catalyst for further USD/CHF downside.

USD/CHF slips after clashing with the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9125, dropping below the 0.9100 mark, sponsored by a soft US Dollar (USD). Weaker-than-expected US economic data stirred recession fears amongst investors. Therefore, the Swiss Franch (CHF) rises, as shown by the USD/CHF pair trading at 0.9063, down 0.27%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the USD/CHF is neutrally biased, waiting for a fresh catalyst that could give direction to the USD/CHF pair. Meanwhile, the USD/CHF is trapped on the upside by the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9123; on the flip side, the 50-day EMA is at 0.9037.

In bullish territory, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator aims downwards, while the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC), even though in bearish territory, climbs toward the neutral area. Mixed signals between oscillators might prevent traders from opening new long/short positions. But, expectations for a hawkish Swiss National Bank (SNB) could open the door for further downside.

The USD/CHF first support would be the 50-day EMA. A breach of the latter will expose the 20-day EMA at 0.9027, followed by the 0.9000 psychological support, before diving toward February 16, 2021, Low of 0.8926.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9062
Today Daily Change-0.0030
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open0.9092
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9004
Daily SMA500.9001
Daily SMA1000.9127
Daily SMA2000.9376
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9093
Previous Daily Low0.9035
Previous Weekly High0.9148
Previous Weekly Low0.9014
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9071
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9057
Daily Pivot Point S10.9054
Daily Pivot Point S20.9015
Daily Pivot Point S30.8996
Daily Pivot Point R10.9112
Daily Pivot Point R20.9131
Daily Pivot Point R30.917

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rebounds to near $4,350 after Monday's 4+% correction

Gold is bouncing to near $4,350 early Tuesday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. Gold was hit sharply by profit-taking on Monday during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).