|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Slides below 61.8% Fibo retracement, death cross signals downside near monthly lows

  • USD/CHF is balanced in a narrow range of 0.9220-0.9240 below 61.8% Fibo retracement.
  • A death cross of 50 and 200-period EMAs signals more downside going forward.
  • The RSI (14) has slipped into a bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates more pain ahead.

The USD/CHF pair is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.9220-0.9240 in early Tokyo. The asset has witnessed a steep fall recently after dropping below the previous week’s low at 0.9260.

On an hourly scale, USD/CHF is staying below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed monthly lows and highs at 0.9150 and 0.9460 respectively) placed at 0.9269. The asset is oscillating near the declining trendline placed from March 21 low at 0.9294 adjoining the previous week’s low at 0.9260.

A death cross from the 50 and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.9328 triggered a bear attack on the counter.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into a bearish range of 20.00-40.00 from 40.00-60.00, which indicates more pain ahead.

For further downside, Swiss franc bulls need to drag the asset below the ongoing consolidation of 0.9220-0.9240. This will expose the pair to more downside at March 7 low and monthly lows at 0.9197 and 0.9150 respectively.

On the contrary, greenback bulls can obtain control if the asset advances above the 20 EMA at 0.9281. This will drive the asset towards the 200 EMA at 0.9313, followed by 38.2% Fibo retracement at 0.9341.

USD/CHF hourly chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9231
Today Daily Change-0.0078
Today Daily Change %-0.84
Today daily open0.9309
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9306
Daily SMA500.9254
Daily SMA1000.9235
Daily SMA2000.9212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9374
Previous Daily Low0.9298
Previous Weekly High0.9376
Previous Weekly Low0.926
Previous Monthly High0.9297
Previous Monthly Low0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9327
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9345
Daily Pivot Point S10.928
Daily Pivot Point S20.9251
Daily Pivot Point S30.9204
Daily Pivot Point R10.9356
Daily Pivot Point R20.9403
Daily Pivot Point R30.9433

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 on prospect of further Fed rate cuts

Gold price extends its upside to around $4,305, the highest since October 21, during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal edges higher on further US Federal Reserve cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Ethereum: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion. BitMine aims to accumulate 5% of ETH's circulating supply.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.