|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Slides below 61.8% Fibo retracement, death cross signals downside near monthly lows

  • USD/CHF is balanced in a narrow range of 0.9220-0.9240 below 61.8% Fibo retracement.
  • A death cross of 50 and 200-period EMAs signals more downside going forward.
  • The RSI (14) has slipped into a bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates more pain ahead.

The USD/CHF pair is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.9220-0.9240 in early Tokyo. The asset has witnessed a steep fall recently after dropping below the previous week’s low at 0.9260.

On an hourly scale, USD/CHF is staying below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed monthly lows and highs at 0.9150 and 0.9460 respectively) placed at 0.9269. The asset is oscillating near the declining trendline placed from March 21 low at 0.9294 adjoining the previous week’s low at 0.9260.

A death cross from the 50 and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.9328 triggered a bear attack on the counter.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into a bearish range of 20.00-40.00 from 40.00-60.00, which indicates more pain ahead.

For further downside, Swiss franc bulls need to drag the asset below the ongoing consolidation of 0.9220-0.9240. This will expose the pair to more downside at March 7 low and monthly lows at 0.9197 and 0.9150 respectively.

On the contrary, greenback bulls can obtain control if the asset advances above the 20 EMA at 0.9281. This will drive the asset towards the 200 EMA at 0.9313, followed by 38.2% Fibo retracement at 0.9341.

USD/CHF hourly chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9231
Today Daily Change-0.0078
Today Daily Change %-0.84
Today daily open0.9309
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9306
Daily SMA500.9254
Daily SMA1000.9235
Daily SMA2000.9212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9374
Previous Daily Low0.9298
Previous Weekly High0.9376
Previous Weekly Low0.926
Previous Monthly High0.9297
Previous Monthly Low0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9327
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9345
Daily Pivot Point S10.928
Daily Pivot Point S20.9251
Daily Pivot Point S30.9204
Daily Pivot Point R10.9356
Daily Pivot Point R20.9403
Daily Pivot Point R30.9433

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).