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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Falls to two-month lows, below 0.8900

  • USD/CHF plunges to a two-month low of 0.8889, down 0.72%, due to weaker-than-expected US labor data and a weakened US Dollar.
  • The pair breaches a two-month support trendline, extending losses below 0.8900.
  • The next target is the year-to-date low of 0.8819, pending a breakthrough of the 0.8850 psychological level.
  • If buyers reclaim 0.8900, initial resistance lies at 0.8950, followed by the 20-day EMA at 0.8967 and the 50-day EMA at 0.8997.

USD/CHF dives into a new two-month-old on Friday after labor data from the United States (US) was softer than expected, weakening the US Dollar (USD). Earlier, the USD/CHF hit a daily high of 0.8970, which dropped below the 0.8900 figure on the data release. The USD/CHF is trading at 0.8889, down 0.72%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the USD/CHF extended its losses past the 0.8900 mark after breaking a two-month-old support trendline. That exacerbated the USD/CHF fall below the June 16 swing low of 0.8901, intermediate support opening the door for a test of the year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8819. Nevertheless, the USD/CHF must surpass the 0.8850 psychological level on its way down.

Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator and the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) suggested that sellers remain in charge, as both turned bearish.

Conversely, if USD/CHF buyers reclaim 0.8900, the first resistance would emerge at 0.8950. A breach of the latter, the USD/CHF could rally to the 20-day EMA at 0.8967, followed by the 50-day EMA at 0.8997. A breach of the latter will put into play the 0.9000 figure.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8888
Today Daily Change-0.0064
Today Daily Change %-0.71
Today daily open0.8952
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8976
Daily SMA500.8985
Daily SMA1000.9074
Daily SMA2000.9287
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8998
Previous Daily Low0.8951
Previous Weekly High0.9017
Previous Weekly Low0.8912
Previous Monthly High0.912
Previous Monthly Low0.8902
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8969
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.898
Daily Pivot Point S10.8936
Daily Pivot Point S20.892
Daily Pivot Point S30.8889
Daily Pivot Point R10.8983
Daily Pivot Point R20.9014
Daily Pivot Point R30.903

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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