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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls are firmer above 20-EMA, a fresh three-year high looks likely

  • The 20-period EMA (High-Low) has acted as a major cushion for the asset.
  • A (60.00-80.00) bullish range action in the RSI (14) is underpinning the greenback bulls.
  • A breach of the May 2019 high will expose the asset to a fresh three-year high.

The USD/CHF pair is going through a volatility contraction phase after easing from a high of 1.0064 recorded on Monday. The asset is oscillating in a narrow range of 1.0018-1.0022 from the Asian session and is expected to continue its directionless structure till the release of the US Retail Sales.

The pair has been displaying a perpendicular rally right from the first trading session of April. On a four-hour scale, the asset is trading in a Rising Channel chart pattern whose upper boundary is placed from April 28 high at 0.9759 while the lower boundary is plotted from March 5 low at 0.9710. The 20-period (High-Low) Exponential Moving Average (EMA) band has been a major cushion for the greenback bulls.

A (60.00-80.00) bullish range action in the momentum oscillator, Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is confirming more upside ahead.

The asset is expected to continue its upside momentum after surpassing Friday’s high at 1.0064. This will send the asset towards a 30 May 2019 high at 1.0098. Violation of the May 2019 high will expose the asset to a fresh three-year high at 1.0122.

Alternatively, a decisive move below Friday’s low at 0.9992 will drag the asset towards the round level support at 0.9900, followed by Wednesday’s low at 0.9872.

USD/CHF four-hour chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price1.002
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.0018
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9771
Daily SMA500.9506
Daily SMA1000.9354
Daily SMA2000.9284
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0064
Previous Daily Low1.0008
Previous Weekly High1.0049
Previous Weekly Low0.9872
Previous Monthly High0.9759
Previous Monthly Low0.9221
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0029
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0043
Daily Pivot Point S10.9996
Daily Pivot Point S20.9973
Daily Pivot Point S30.9939
Daily Pivot Point R11.0052
Daily Pivot Point R21.0087
Daily Pivot Point R31.0109

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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