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USD/CHF moves lower near 0.8620 on subdued US Dollar, focus on US Data

  • USD/CHF edges lower as the US Dollar fails to continue gaining.
  • The Greenback faces challenges despite upbeat US bond yields.
  • SNB can intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the Swiss Franc.

USD/CHF trades lower around 0.8620 during the Asian session on Thursday. The USD/CHF pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) moves downward despite improved US Treasury yields. The 2-year and 10-year yields on United States (US) bond coupons stand higher at 4.36% and 3.86%, respectively, by the press time.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 102.30, and it seems like the dovish sentiment surrounding the US Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory in early 2024 is putting pressure on the Greenback. Despite Fed officials urging a cautious approach and discouraging premature speculations, the Dollar is facing downward pressure.

However, the Greenback found support on Wednesday with improved economic data from the United States. The US Existing Home Sales Change revealed a monthly rate increase of 0.8% in November, a significant rebound from the previous decline of 4.1%. Additionally, CB Consumer Confidence experienced substantial growth in December, marking the most significant increase since early 2021, rising from 101.0 to 110.07.

Market participants await the US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q3), Initial Jobless Claims, and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey on Thursday to gain more cues in the US economy.

In its December meeting, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) opted to keep the policy rate unchanged at 1.75%. According to the Quarterly Bulletin released on Wednesday, SNB's sight deposits held at the central bank are remunerated at the SNB policy rate up to a specific threshold, and at 1.25% above this threshold. Additionally, the SNB expressed its readiness to be active in the foreign exchange market as deemed necessary, indicating a proactive stance in managing currency dynamics.

The inflationary pressure has seen a slight decrease over the past quarter, but uncertainty in the economic landscape remains elevated. In November, inflation stood at 1.4%, showing a modest decline compared to previous months. However, the expectation is that inflation will likely increase once again in the coming months. This anticipated uptick is attributed to factors such as higher electricity prices, rising rents, and the impact of an increase in Value Added Tax (VAT).

The SNB has affirmed its commitment to closely monitor the development of inflation. Should the need arise, the SNB is prepared to make adjustments to its monetary policy. The primary objective is to ensure that inflation stays within the range that aligns with price stability over the medium term.

USD/CHF: additional levels to watch

Overview
Today last price0.8621
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.20
Today daily open0.8638
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8739
Daily SMA500.8878
Daily SMA1000.8902
Daily SMA2000.8929
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8651
Previous Daily Low0.8602
Previous Weekly High0.8816
Previous Weekly Low0.863
Previous Monthly High0.9113
Previous Monthly Low0.8685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8632
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8621
Daily Pivot Point S10.8609
Daily Pivot Point S20.8581
Daily Pivot Point S30.856
Daily Pivot Point R10.8659
Daily Pivot Point R20.868
Daily Pivot Point R30.8708

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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