|

USD/CHF is struggling to return above 0.8200 despite the overall Dollar strength

  • The US Dollar remains capped below 0.8200 with the CHF buoyed by risk aversion.
  • Investors are wary of risk, awaiting Iran's response to this weekend's attack.
  • Later today, the US PMIs are expected to show that business activity growth moderated in June.

The US Dollar is trading with moderate gains against the Swiss Franc on Monday, but remains trapped within the last few days' trading range, as the 0.8200 level keeps holding bulls for now.

The Greenback is appreciating against most of its main peers, but is failing to perform any significant advance against the safe-haven Swiss Franc, which is one of the strongest currencies today, amid a risk-averse market.

An attack from US planes and missiles that, according to President Trump, have devastated Iran’s nuclear program keeps investors on edge on Monday, awaiting a response from the Islamic Republic, which would escalate the conflict into a full-blown regional war.

Iranian officials have threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, and an army spokesperson vowed severe consequences to the US earlier today.

In the macroeconomic front, US preliminary S&P Global PMIs are expected to show that business activity in the manufacturing and services sector eased in June, although still at levels consistent with moderate growth.

The highlights of the week will be the Fed Chair’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the US PCE prices Index on Friday, which will provide further clues on the bank’s monetary policy calendar.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Composite PMI

The S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging US private-business activity in the manufacturing and services sector. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.

Read more.

Next release: Mon Jun 23, 2025 13:45 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: 53

Source: S&P Global

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD breaches below 1.3500, two-day lows

GBP/USD faces renewed selling pressure, eroding the earlier advance and slipping back to the sub-1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s loss of upside momentum follows the resurgence of the demand for the Greenback amid steady geopolitical tensions. Looking ahead, the British Pound is expected to remain under scrutiny in light of the release of UK GDP data on Thursday.

EUR/USD weakens to multi-day lows near 1.1520

EUR/USD makes a U-turn and trades with decent losses near 1.1520 following the closing bell on Wall Street on Wednesday. The US Dollar’s recovery post-US CPI data keeps the risk complex under pressure in a context where geopolitics takes centre stage once again. Moving forward, attention remains on US inflation with the release of Producer Prices alongside weekly Claims.

Gold has priced a Fed pause. The hike is still coming
July inflation landed exactly where the consensus had it, on all four lines of the release, and Gold responded by adding around 1% and holding fast near $4,400/ounce, trading at its highest since early June. A print that surprises nobody is not supposed to move a metal that far.
Ethereum Price Forecast: Fidelity plans to add staking to ETH ETF amid yield debate
Asset manager Fidelity has filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to permit staking in its Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF), the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), which holds over $898 million in net assets.
911 million shares freed: Why SpaceX rallied into its own supply

The most heavily trailed supply event of the year landed on August 6, and the SpaceX (SPCX) stock went up. Roughly 911.5 million shares held by insiders and early backers became eligible to trade, around 43% more than the entire float sold at the listing.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.