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USD/CHF consolidates in a range below 0.9100 mark, focus remains on US CPI

  • USD/CHF struggles to capitalize on its strong gains registered over the past two days.
  • The Fed rate hike uncertainty keeps the USD bulls on the defensive and caps the upside.
  • Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of the crucial US CPI report.

The USD/CHF pair oscillates in a narrow band below the 0.9100 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday and consolidates its strong gains recorded over the past two days.

Firming expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will more likely skip a rate hike this month continue to weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and act as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair. It is worth recalling that a slew of influential Federal Reserve (Fed) officials recently reaffirmed market expectations for an imminent pause in the US central bank's year-long policy tightening cycle.

The Fed fund futures, however, indicate the possibility of another 25 bps lift-off at the July FOMC meeting. The bets were lifted by surprise rate hikes by other major central banks - the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) - last week, which suggested that the fight against inflation is not over yet. This, in turn, limit the USD losses and lends support to the USD/CHF pair.

Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures, due later during the early North American session. The crucial US CPI report will influence the Fed's policy outlook and drive the USD demand, providing some meaningful impetus to the USD/CHF pair ahead of the FOMC policy decision on Wednesday.

In the meantime, a generally positive tone around the equity markets could undermine the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) and offer some support to the USD/CHF pair. That said, a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields might hold back traders from positioning for any meaningful USD recovery, suggesting that the major is more likely to extend its subdued/range-bound price action on Tuesday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9085
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open0.909
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9043
Daily SMA500.8989
Daily SMA1000.9118
Daily SMA2000.9354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9109
Previous Daily Low0.9016
Previous Weekly High0.912
Previous Weekly Low0.8984
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9074
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9051
Daily Pivot Point S10.9034
Daily Pivot Point S20.8978
Daily Pivot Point S30.8941
Daily Pivot Point R10.9128
Daily Pivot Point R20.9165
Daily Pivot Point R30.9221

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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