|

USD/CHF trades just below 200 DMA amid sluggish USD

  • USD/CHF drops to a fresh multi-month low amid the emergence of fresh USD selling.
  • Diminishing odds for a later Fed rate hike in September continue to weigh on the USD.
  • The risk-on mood undermines the safe-haven CHF and helps limit any further downside.

The USD/CHF pair witnesses selling for the fourth successive day and drops to a four-month low during the first half of the European session. Spot prices, however, show some resilience below the 0.9400 mark and quickly recover around 20 pips in the last hour.

The US dollar struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce and remains sluggish near its lowest level since late June touched in the aftermath of softer US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday. This, in turn, exerts some downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair, though sustained weakness below the 0.9400 mark is needed to confirm a bearish breakdown below a technically significant 200-day SMA.

The weaker-than-expected US CPI report forced investors to scale back expectations for a larger 75 bps Fed rate hike move in September. That said, the overnight hawkish comments by Fed officials should act as a tailwind for the greenback. Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets seems to undermine the safe-haven swiss franc and limit losses for the USD/CHF pair, at least for now.

The Fed, meanwhile, is still expected to hike interest rates by 50 bps points at the September policy meeting. This, in turn, supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying around the USD and further warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders. Market participants now look forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for a fresh impetus later during the early North American session.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.941
Today Daily Change-0.0020
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open0.943
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9619
Daily SMA500.9675
Daily SMA1000.9631
Daily SMA2000.9429
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9545
Previous Daily Low0.9394
Previous Weekly High0.9652
Previous Weekly Low0.9471
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9452
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9487
Daily Pivot Point S10.9368
Daily Pivot Point S20.9305
Daily Pivot Point S30.9216
Daily Pivot Point R10.9519
Daily Pivot Point R20.9608
Daily Pivot Point R30.9671

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).