The USD/CAD pair, which failed to hold its modest gains above the 1.26 handle during the day, came under pressure in the early NA session and fell to a new session low at 1.2570. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.2572, losing 0.12% on the day.
Despite that recent fall, the pair continues to trade in a tight 40 pip range on Monday. Today's data from Canada showed that wholesale sales contracted by 0.5% on a monthly basis in June to $61.4 billion, missing the market estimate of -0.2%. On the other hand, Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the U.S. fell to -0.01 from 0.16 in July. Following that dismal data from the U.S., the US Dollar Index fell to its daily low at 93.15. At the moment, the index is at 93.17, losing 0.2% on the day.
- Canada: Wholesale sales declined 0.5% to $61.4 billion in June
- Chicago Fed: National activity Index points to growth near historical trend in July
Regardless of the greenback weakness, however, the pair's losses remain limited as the crude oil prices struggle to extend their recent earnings. At the moment, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate is trading at $48.40, losing 25 cents, or 0.5%, on the day. Kuwait's Oil Minister earlier claimed that the fact that U.S. crude inventories were falling more than expected was a sign of the success of OPEC and non-OPEC production cuts but his remarks were largely ignored by the participants.
There are no more economic data left in the remainder of the session and the pair is likely to remain in its daily range.
Technical outlook
Short-term technical indicators are suggesting a neutral outlook. The pair could face the initial support at 1.2500 (psychological level) ahead of 1.2460 (May 3, 2016, low) and 1.2415 (Jul. 27 low). On the upside, resistances align at 1.2660 (10-DMA), 1.2730 (50-DMA) and 1.2800 (psychological level).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD jumps above 0.6500 after hot Australian CPI data
AUD/USD extended gains and recaptured 0.6500 in Asian trading, following the release of hotter-than-expected Australian inflation data. The Australian CPI rose 1% in QoQ in Q1 against 0.8% forecast, providing extra legs to the Australian Dollar upside.
USD/JPY hangs near 34-year high at 154.88 as intervention risks loom
USD/JPY is sitting at a multi-decade high of 154.88 reached on Tuesday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets on the pair as Japan's FX intervention risks loom. Broad US Dollar weakness also caps the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap.
Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields
Gold retreats modestly after failing to sustain gains despite fall in US Treasury yields, weaker US Dollar. XAU/USD struggles to capitalize following release of weaker-than-expected S&P Global PMIs, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts.
Crypto community reacts as BRICS considers launching stablecoin for international trade settlement
BRICS is intensifying efforts to reduce its reliance on the US dollar after plans for its stablecoin effort surfaced online on Tuesday. Most people expect the stablecoin to be backed by gold, considering BRICS nations have been accumulating large holdings of the commodity.
US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization
Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Fed might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone.