|

USD/CAD struggles to move back above 1.3300 mark, US CPI in focus

  • The ongoing slump in Oil prices undermine Loonie and lend some support.
  • The USD remains on the defensive amid firming Fed rate cut expectations.
  • Traders now eye Wednesday’s US consumer inflation data for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair held on to its mildly positive tone through the early European session on Wednesday, albeit remained capped below the previous session's swing high.

After a rather subdued action through the major part of Tuesday's trading session, the pair witnessed a surprise move to the upside and was being supported by weaker Crude Oil prices. A weaker demand outlook, coupled with an unexpected rise in the US inventories weighed on Oil and undermined demand for the commodity-linked currency - Loonie.

The positive move, however, lacked any strong bullish conviction and failed to sustain above the 1.3300 handle in the wake of the US President Donald Trump's efforts to talk down the domestic currency. Trump said that other currencies are undervalued against the US Dollar and also complained that the Fed was keeping interest rates way too high.

The comments further reaffirmed market expectations for an eventual Fed rate cut action by the end of this year and kept the USD bulls on the defensive, failing to assist the pair to build on the positive momentum despite a follow-through slump in Oil prices on Wednesday. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pair might have actually bottomed out in the near-term or positioning for any further appreciating move.

Later during the early North-American session, the US economic docket - highlighting the release of the latest consumer inflation figures, will now be looked upon to grab some meaningful trading opportunities. In the meantime, the USD/Oil price dynamics might continue to act as key determinants of the pair's momentum on Wednesday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3286
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.3284
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3422
Daily SMA501.3413
Daily SMA1001.3348
Daily SMA2001.3278
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3309
Previous Daily Low1.325
Previous Weekly High1.3529
Previous Weekly Low1.3262
Previous Monthly High1.3566
Previous Monthly Low1.3357
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3287
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3273
Daily Pivot Point S11.3253
Daily Pivot Point S21.3222
Daily Pivot Point S31.3195
Daily Pivot Point R11.3312
Daily Pivot Point R21.334
Daily Pivot Point R31.3371

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800 barrier above 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 47 (neutral) reflects easing momentum. The RSI below 50 keeps momentum balanced and could limit follow-through.

GBP/USD struggles near four-week low vs. USD, below 1.3500 amid BoE rate cut bets

The GBP/USD pair is seen consolidating its weekly losses registered over the past three days and oscillating in a narrow range near a four-week trough, touched during the Asians session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.3500 psychological mark and seem vulnerable to slide further.

Gold consolidates below $5,000 amid geopolitical risk, hawkish FOMC Minutes

Gold extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Thursday and remains below the $5,000 psychological mark as traders seem hesitant amid mixed cues. The US Dollar preserves its strong gains to over a one-week high in the wake of somewhat hawkish Minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s January monetary policy meeting. 

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments. The technical outlook suggests further gains if INJ breaks above key resistance.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.