|

USD/CAD steadies below 1.2100 following NFP-inspired drop

  • USD/CAD fell sharply in the early American session.
  • Nonfarm Payrolls in US rose less than forecast in May.
  • Employment in Canada declined by 68,000, Unemployment Rate rose to 8.2%.

The USD/CAD pair rose to its highest level in a week at 1.2134 on Friday but turned south in the second half of the day. After dropping to a daily low of 1.2070, the pair seems to have gone into a consolidation phase and was last seen losing 0.15 on the day at 1.2083. For the week, the pair remains on track to close little changed.

Renewed USD weakness drags USD/CAD lower

Earlier in the day, the uninspiring May jobs report from the US caused the greenback to come under heavy selling pressure. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 559,000, missing the market expectation of 650,000. Underlying details of the publication showed the Labor Force Participation edged lower to 61.6% from 61.7 in April.

With these figures suggesting that the Fed won't rush to start tapering discussions, the US Dollar Index erased a large portion of Thursday's gains and is currently losing 0.37% at 90.15. Moreover, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down nearly 4%.

On the other hand, Statistics Canada announced that Employment in Canada fell by 68,000 in May, compared to analysts' estimate of 20,000, and limited CAD's gains. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate ticked up to 8.2% from 8.1%.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2083
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.2108
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2089
Daily SMA501.2321
Daily SMA1001.2488
Daily SMA2001.2764
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.212
Previous Daily Low1.203
Previous Weekly High1.2142
Previous Weekly Low1.2029
Previous Monthly High1.2352
Previous Monthly Low1.2013
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2086
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2065
Daily Pivot Point S11.2052
Daily Pivot Point S21.1996
Daily Pivot Point S31.1962
Daily Pivot Point R11.2142
Daily Pivot Point R21.2176
Daily Pivot Point R31.2232

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).