USD/CAD stays in positive territory as red flags on Canadian economy mount

  • Manufacturing sales in Canada declined in March.
  • Industrial production loses momentum in the U.S. 
  • US Dollar Index struggles to recover above 97.

The USD/CAD pair is struggling to take advantage of the upbeat market sentiment on Tuesday as the latest data from Canada remind investors of the slowdown in the Canadian economy in the first quarter of 2019. As of writing, the pair was up 0.04% on the day at 1.3374.

Statistics Canada today reported that manufacturing sales in February declined by 0.2% on a monthly basis in February to fall short of the market expectation for a no-change, confirming the dismal tone in the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey that was released yesterday. "The Business Outlook Survey indicator decreased from a strongly positive level in the winter survey and is now slightly negative, suggesting a softening in business sentiment," the BoC said.

On the other hand, the Fed announced that industrial production in the U.S. declined by 0.1% in March to miss the analysts' estimate of +0.2% and made it difficult for the greenback to gather strength against its rivals. With the US Dollar Index struggling to make a decisive break above the 97 mark, the pair's upside stays limited for now.

On Wednesday, inflation data from Canada will be the next significant catalyst on the CAD's market valuation. “The surge in gasoline prices during the month may have led the headline price index to rise 0.7% m/m (not seasonally adjusted). This would allow the annual inflation rate to rise 4 ticks to 1.9%. The annual rate of CPI-common, meanwhile, may have stayed put at 1.8%,” NBF analysts said previewing the data.

Technical levels


Today last price 1.3374
Today Daily Change 0.0006
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1.3368
Daily SMA20 1.3358
Daily SMA50 1.3308
Daily SMA100 1.3339
Daily SMA200 1.3206
Previous Daily High 1.3391
Previous Daily Low 1.3298
Previous Weekly High 1.3398
Previous Weekly Low 1.3284
Previous Monthly High 1.3469
Previous Monthly Low 1.313
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3355
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3333
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3313
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3259
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.322
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3406
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3445
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3499



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