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USD/CAD stays directionless below 1.4000 in quiet day

  • WTI edges lower on Monday, trades below $23.
  • US Dollar Index steadies near mid-99s in early American session.
  • Coming up on Wednesday: BoC monetary policy meeting.

The USD/CAD pair, which erased more than 200 pips last week, stays relatively calm on Monday and fluctuates in a tight range amid a lack of significant fundamental drivers. As of writing, the pair was up 0.1% on a daily basis at 1.3965.

Crude oil starts the week on the back foot

The uncertainty surrounding the crude oil output cut deal last week made it difficult for crude oil prices to continue to push higher. However, the broad-based USD weakness caused the pair to lose its traction.

After members of OPEC and their allies reached a final deal to reduce oil production by 9.7 million barrels per day in May and June, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate edged lower on Monday to reflect investors' disappointment. At the moment, the WTI is down 1.35% on the day at $22.85.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is moving sideways near 99.50 in the absence of fundamental drivers on Easter Monday and helping the pair stay in its daily trading channel.

The next significant event for the pair will the Bank of Canada's (BoC) monetary policy announcements on Wednesday. Previewing the BoC meeting, “If the BoC forecast errs on the optimistic side (-3.0% or higher on 2020 GDP) then it would imply a lower bar to additional asset purchases or rate cuts," said TD Securities analysts. "Conversely, if the BoC takes a more pessimistic path (-5.0% GDP growth or below), it would suggest that they believe their announced policy stance is appropriate.”

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3974
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1.3957
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4178
Daily SMA501.3704
Daily SMA1001.3422
Daily SMA2001.3316
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4009
Previous Daily Low1.3947
Previous Weekly High1.4262
Previous Weekly Low1.3931
Previous Monthly High1.4668
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3971
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3985
Daily Pivot Point S11.3933
Daily Pivot Point S21.3909
Daily Pivot Point S31.3871
Daily Pivot Point R11.3995
Daily Pivot Point R21.4033
Daily Pivot Point R31.4057

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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