|

USD/CAD spikes above mid-1.2800s, highest since Dec. 20

   •  Weaker oil prices weigh on commodity-linked Loonie.
   •  USD consolidates recent gains and remains supportive.
   •  Sliding US bond yields now seemed to cap gains.

The USD/CAD pair finally broke out of its Asian/early European session consolidation phase and refreshed session tops in the last hour.

The pair's latest leg of up-move over the past hour or so, to the highest level since December 20, lacked any fundamental trigger and was led by some renewed weakness in crude oil prices. In fact, WTI crude oil extended overnight slide and is currently placed at near two-week lows, which was eventually seen weighing on the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and driving the pair higher. 

Further gains, however, remained capped amid subdued US Dollar price-action, primarily on the back of weaker US Treasury bond yields. Despite firming expectations that the Fed could opt for a faster monetary policy tightening cycle, sliding US bond yields failed to assist the greenback to build on its recent upsurge and was eventually seen keeping a lid on the pair's bullish momentum.

Focus now shifts to important US macroeconomic releases, with the key focus on ISM manufacturing PMI, which along with the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's second appearance before the Congress would be looked upon for some fresh bullish impetus.

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through buying interest could the pair towards the 1.2900 handle, above which the bullish momentum is likely to get extended beyond 1.2915-20 supply zone towards reclaiming the key 1.30 psychological mark. 

On the flip side, any meaningful retracement below the 1.2830-25 region is likely to find support near the 1.2800 handle, which if broken might prompt some additional long-unwinding trade and drag the pair further towards the 1.2755 support level.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off three-month highs, holds near 1.1800 on softer US Dollar

EUR/USD consolidates gains below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A broadly subdued US Dollar continues to underpin the pair amid quiet markets and thin liquidity conditions on Christmas Eve. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 in the European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders turn to sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs amid profit-taking on Christmas Eve

Gold retreats following the move higher to the $4,525 area, or a fresh all-time peak, though the downside remains limited amid a bullish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Shiba Inu's bears tighten grip, aiming for yearly lows

Shiba Inu price remains under pressure, trading below $0.000070 on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to dominate the broader crypto market. On-chain and derivatives data further support the bearish sentiment, while technical analysis suggests a deeper correction targeting the yearly lows.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM slips below $0.22 as bearish momentum builds

Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.