|

USD/CAD spikes above mid-1.2800s, highest since Dec. 20

   •  Weaker oil prices weigh on commodity-linked Loonie.
   •  USD consolidates recent gains and remains supportive.
   •  Sliding US bond yields now seemed to cap gains.

The USD/CAD pair finally broke out of its Asian/early European session consolidation phase and refreshed session tops in the last hour.

The pair's latest leg of up-move over the past hour or so, to the highest level since December 20, lacked any fundamental trigger and was led by some renewed weakness in crude oil prices. In fact, WTI crude oil extended overnight slide and is currently placed at near two-week lows, which was eventually seen weighing on the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and driving the pair higher. 

Further gains, however, remained capped amid subdued US Dollar price-action, primarily on the back of weaker US Treasury bond yields. Despite firming expectations that the Fed could opt for a faster monetary policy tightening cycle, sliding US bond yields failed to assist the greenback to build on its recent upsurge and was eventually seen keeping a lid on the pair's bullish momentum.

Focus now shifts to important US macroeconomic releases, with the key focus on ISM manufacturing PMI, which along with the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's second appearance before the Congress would be looked upon for some fresh bullish impetus.

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through buying interest could the pair towards the 1.2900 handle, above which the bullish momentum is likely to get extended beyond 1.2915-20 supply zone towards reclaiming the key 1.30 psychological mark. 

On the flip side, any meaningful retracement below the 1.2830-25 region is likely to find support near the 1.2800 handle, which if broken might prompt some additional long-unwinding trade and drag the pair further towards the 1.2755 support level.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid near 1.1650 ahead of Fed rate decision

EUR/USD keeps the green near the 1.1650 level in the European session on Wednesday. Markets turn cautious and ignore the US Dollar ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision later on Wednesday, where a 25 bps rate cut is almost fully priced in. Meanwhile, cautious ECB-speak keeps the Euro afloat. 

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3300, eyes on Fed outcome

GBP/USD trades on a firmer note above 1.3300 in Wednesday's European session. The US Dollar weakens against the Pound Sterling as the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce another interest rate cut on Wednesday. Next of note will be the UK monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report that will be published on Friday. 

Gold struggles around $4,200, looks to Fed for fresh impetus

Gold extends its sideways consolidative price move through the European session and trades around $4,200 this Wednesday. Traders now seem reluctant and opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting later in the day. The key focus will be on updated economic projections and Powell's speech.

Solana price flashes bullish potential on institutional, retail confidence

Solana (SOL) extends its upward trend for the third consecutive day, trading within a consolidation range of $121-$145. Persistent inflows into Solana Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) over the last four days suggest steady institutional confidence.

BoC expected to hold interest rate, signaling the end of easing cycle

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 2.25% at its meeting on Wednesday. That would follow two consecutive quarter-point rate cuts in September and October.

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC extends gains as derivatives turn decisively bullish

Zcash (ZEC) price extends gains, trading above $440 on Wednesday after rallying nearly 30% so far this week. ZEC’s rising open interest, elevated bullish bets, and a shift to positive funding rates all point to stronger demand.