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USD/CAD snaps the four-day losing streak above the 1.3400 mark, eyes on Canadian GDP, Fed rate decision

  • USD/CAD recovers some lost ground near 1.3405 on the stronger USD. 
  • The Federal Reserve will hold its first rate meeting in 2024 in the range of 5.25–5.50%.
  • The Bank of Canada (BoC) said growth in Canada is likely to remain around zero in the first quarter of 2024.
  • Investors await the Canadian GDP growth and FOMC rate decision on Wednesday.

The USD/CAD pair snaps the four-day losing streak during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The recovery of the pair is supported by upbeat US job openings and consumer confidence data, which lift the US dollar (USD). The Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting on Wednesday will be in the spotlight, with no change in rate expected. At press time, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3405, gaining 0.04% on the day. 

The number of available jobs in the US unexpectedly rose in December to 9.026 million, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Tuesday. It’s the first time openings have popped above 9 million since September. Additionally, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence came in at 114.8 in January versus 108.0 prior, the highest in two years.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Investors believe the Fed will keep the federal funds rate steady in a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. After the Fed meeting, the press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will be closely watched. Traders will focus on his word for any hints of a rate cut timeline.

Statistics Canada will release the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for November, which is forecast to expand by 0.1% MoM. The Bank of Canada (BoC) said this week that economic growth in Canada has stalled since mid-2023 and is likely to remain around zero in the first quarter of 2024. Stubborn core inflation readings prompted the BoC to keep its interest rate at a 22-year high last week. Meanwhile, the higher oil price due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might cap the downside of the commodity-linked Loonie. 

Moving on, the Canadian GDP growth number is due on Wednesday, ahead of the Fed monetary policy meeting and press conference. On Friday, the US Nonfarm Payrolls will be closely watched by market players. These events could give a clear direction to the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3412
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open1.3399
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3429
Daily SMA501.3444
Daily SMA1001.3555
Daily SMA2001.348
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3446
Previous Daily Low1.3396
Previous Weekly High1.3535
Previous Weekly Low1.3414
Previous Monthly High1.362
Previous Monthly Low1.3178
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3415
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3427
Daily Pivot Point S11.3381
Daily Pivot Point S21.3363
Daily Pivot Point S31.333
Daily Pivot Point R11.3432
Daily Pivot Point R21.3465
Daily Pivot Point R31.3483

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
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