|

USD/CAD slips as US-China tensions escalate, Powell in focus

  • The Canadian Dollar gains ground as the Greenback softens on escalating US-China frictions
  • Trade tensions deepen as China rolls out new port fees on US-linked vessels.
  • Traders await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the near-term monetary policy outlook.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/CAD easing from its intraday peak of 1.4079 to hover around 1.4037 at the time of writing. The move reflects mild USD weakness, as investors remain wary amid renewed escalation in US-China trade frictions and a cautious mood ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.

Escalating trade frictions between the United States (US) and China have dominated market sentiment this week. The tensions reignited late Friday after US President Donald Trump shocked investors by announcing plans to impose 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1, following Beijing’s new export controls on rare earth elements.

While hopes of renewed dialogue over the weekend briefly soothed nerves, fresh headlines reignited caution. China introduced new port fees on US-linked ships, mirroring Washington’s earlier move to levy similar charges on Chinese vessels. In a further escalation, Beijing sanctioned five US subsidiaries of South Korea’s Hanwha Ocean, accusing them of assisting American investigations that undermine China’s national interests. The tit-for-tat measures have amplified investor anxiety over the potential drag on global trade and growth, keeping risk sentiment fragile across markets.

Beyond the trade headlines, the US government shutdown continues to drag on, adding another headwind for the Dollar. At the same time, markets are pricing in two additional Fed rate cuts by year-end amid signs of a weakening labor market. Traders will pay close attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks later on Tuesday for fresh guidance on the monetary policy outlook, as he is set to speak at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Annual Meeting in Philadelphia at 16:20 GMT.

On the Canadian side, the outlook remains mixed. Recent data showed stronger job gains, hinting at some recovery in hiring, though broader economic momentum is still soft. Inflation eased to 1.9% in August, just below the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) 2% target. Policymakers are therefore expected to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance, with markets pricing roughly a 50% probability of another 25-basis-point interest rate cut at the October 29 meeting. Economists at major banks, including RBC, expect one more cut this year, while others, such as Scotiabank, note that firmer labour data could see policymakers pause temporarily.

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.14%0.36%-0.15%0.01%0.53%0.27%-0.14%
EUR0.14%0.49%-0.02%0.14%0.71%0.41%-0.00%
GBP-0.36%-0.49%-0.51%-0.33%0.22%-0.04%-0.49%
JPY0.15%0.02%0.51%0.17%0.66%0.39%-0.04%
CAD-0.01%-0.14%0.33%-0.17%0.56%0.26%-0.16%
AUD-0.53%-0.71%-0.22%-0.66%-0.56%-0.30%-0.72%
NZD-0.27%-0.41%0.04%-0.39%-0.26%0.30%-0.41%
CHF0.14%0.00%0.49%0.04%0.16%0.72%0.41%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.