|

USD/CAD slips as US-China tensions escalate, Powell in focus

  • The Canadian Dollar gains ground as the Greenback softens on escalating US-China frictions
  • Trade tensions deepen as China rolls out new port fees on US-linked vessels.
  • Traders await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the near-term monetary policy outlook.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/CAD easing from its intraday peak of 1.4079 to hover around 1.4037 at the time of writing. The move reflects mild USD weakness, as investors remain wary amid renewed escalation in US-China trade frictions and a cautious mood ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.

Escalating trade frictions between the United States (US) and China have dominated market sentiment this week. The tensions reignited late Friday after US President Donald Trump shocked investors by announcing plans to impose 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1, following Beijing’s new export controls on rare earth elements.

While hopes of renewed dialogue over the weekend briefly soothed nerves, fresh headlines reignited caution. China introduced new port fees on US-linked ships, mirroring Washington’s earlier move to levy similar charges on Chinese vessels. In a further escalation, Beijing sanctioned five US subsidiaries of South Korea’s Hanwha Ocean, accusing them of assisting American investigations that undermine China’s national interests. The tit-for-tat measures have amplified investor anxiety over the potential drag on global trade and growth, keeping risk sentiment fragile across markets.

Beyond the trade headlines, the US government shutdown continues to drag on, adding another headwind for the Dollar. At the same time, markets are pricing in two additional Fed rate cuts by year-end amid signs of a weakening labor market. Traders will pay close attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks later on Tuesday for fresh guidance on the monetary policy outlook, as he is set to speak at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Annual Meeting in Philadelphia at 16:20 GMT.

On the Canadian side, the outlook remains mixed. Recent data showed stronger job gains, hinting at some recovery in hiring, though broader economic momentum is still soft. Inflation eased to 1.9% in August, just below the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) 2% target. Policymakers are therefore expected to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance, with markets pricing roughly a 50% probability of another 25-basis-point interest rate cut at the October 29 meeting. Economists at major banks, including RBC, expect one more cut this year, while others, such as Scotiabank, note that firmer labour data could see policymakers pause temporarily.

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.14%0.36%-0.15%0.01%0.53%0.27%-0.14%
EUR0.14%0.49%-0.02%0.14%0.71%0.41%-0.00%
GBP-0.36%-0.49%-0.51%-0.33%0.22%-0.04%-0.49%
JPY0.15%0.02%0.51%0.17%0.66%0.39%-0.04%
CAD-0.01%-0.14%0.33%-0.17%0.56%0.26%-0.16%
AUD-0.53%-0.71%-0.22%-0.66%-0.56%-0.30%-0.72%
NZD-0.27%-0.41%0.04%-0.39%-0.26%0.30%-0.41%
CHF0.14%0.00%0.49%0.04%0.16%0.72%0.41%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advances to three-week high above 1.3400 as UK political risk eases

The GBP/USD pair builds on Wednesday's gains and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. Fading political uncertainty following the resignation of Keir Starmer in late June provides some support to the British Pound against the US Dollar. However, the risk-averse market atmosphere could limit the pair's upside.

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1450 despite Mideast tensions

EUR/USD gains traction in the European session on Thursday and advances toward 1.1450. Despite the escalating tensions in the Middle East, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand and allows the pair to stretch higher. Weekly Jobless Claims data will be featured in the US economic calendar.

Gold rebounds to $4,100 but struggles to gather momentum

Gold manages to stage a rebound and clings to modest daily gains near $4,100 following a three-day slide. With Middle East hostilities reviving fears of high global inflation, which could cause major central banks to refrain from easing monetary conditions, XAU/USD finds it difficult to gather momentum.

Hyperliquid: Short-term noise in HYPE price masks breakout potential to $100

Hyperliquid continues to slide for the fourth consecutive day this week as retail demand eases amid broader market risk-off sentiment. A surge in HIP-3 Open Interest reflects steady demand for tokenized Real World Assets, amid institutional inflows that support the broader upward trend.

Japan may be changing its Yen strategy, but markets don’t look scared
Japan may be changing its intervention playbook, but that might not be enough to rescue the battered Yen. With USD/JPY hovering at four-decade highs, the currency’s weakness is being driven less by speculative pressure and more by a powerful structural force: the wide US-Japan rate gap.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.