|

USD/CAD: Second consecutive weekly gain is on the cards – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session after edging through the upper 1.3600s in overnight trade, but it is having a decent week relatively speaking, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Gains may be capped by 1.3720-1.3725 area

“A second consecutive weekly gain is on the cards, something it has not achieved since the middle of April. There is no clear reason for the CAD’s relatively firm performance this week and overnight movement leaves spot drifting the furthest from fair value (1.3784 today) since March.”

“The explanation may come from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) positioning data which show record net CAD shorts have accumulated in recent weeks. CAD bears have been persistent in recent months but positioning has not always been rewarded and has sometimes coincided with CAD rebounds, forcing CAD shorts to lightened up.”

“Steady USD losses this week may be finding a base in the upper 1.36 area. Intraday price signals suggest a USD rebound may be developing after spot based around 1.3675/80 in overnight. Gains may be capped by intraday resistance at 1.3720/25 with intraday trend momentum bearish and the daily DMI slipping into neutral now.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold refreshes record highs, eyes $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.