|

USD/CAD retreats as strong Canada jobs data lift the Loonie

  • USD/CAD slips as the Loonie gains ground after stronger-than-expected Canadian jobs data.
  • Canada added 66.6K jobs in October, sharply exceeding forecasts, as the Unemployment Rate edged down to 6.9%.
  • US consumer sentiment slips to 50.3, while 1-year inflation expectations rise to 4.7% and 5-year ease to 3.6%.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, snapping a six-day losing streak after stronger-than-expected labor market data signaled resilience in Canada’s economy. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.4064, down nearly 0.35% on the day.

According to Statistics Canada, the economy added 66.6K jobs in October, sharply beating expectations for a 2.5K decline and following a 60.4K gain in September. The Unemployment Rate fell to 6.9% from 7.1%, while the Participation Rate edged higher to 65.3% from 65.2%.

Average hourly wages rose 4.0% YoY, up from 3.6% in September, signaling still-firm wage growth even as total hours worked slipped modestly due to strike-related disruptions. The broad-based increase in employment, led by services and private-sector hiring, suggests the economy remains more resilient than expected heading into year-end.

The strong employment report supports the case for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep policy steady following its recent rate cut. On October 29, the central bank lowered its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, as expected, and said the current rate is “about the right level if inflation and activity evolve as projected.”

The BoC’s message was widely seen as signaling that the easing cycle is likely nearing its end. Markets now expect policymakers to hold rates unchanged in December, with attention shifting to upcoming inflation data for confirmation.

In the United States (US), preliminary data from the University of Michigan’s (UoM) November survey showed a sharper decline in consumer sentiment, reflecting growing concerns over inflation and the economic outlook. The headline Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.3 from 53.6, well below expectations of 53.2, while the Expectations Index slipped to 49.0 from 50.3.

Inflation expectations showed mixed movement, with the 1-year outlook rising to 4.7% from 4.6%, while the 5-year measure eased to 3.6% from 3.9%

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, fell to a one-week low near 99.42, extending its decline for the third consecutive day after briefly touching a five-month high of 100.36 on Wednesday. The weaker Dollar tone added to USD/CAD’s downside momentum following the strong Canadian data.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.34%-0.27%0.05%-0.35%-0.10%0.20%-0.34%
EUR0.34%0.05%0.44%-0.02%0.24%0.54%0.00%
GBP0.27%-0.05%0.34%-0.10%0.19%0.48%-0.06%
JPY-0.05%-0.44%-0.34%-0.42%-0.18%0.11%-0.41%
CAD0.35%0.02%0.10%0.42%0.25%0.54%0.01%
AUD0.10%-0.24%-0.19%0.18%-0.25%0.30%-0.24%
NZD-0.20%-0.54%-0.48%-0.11%-0.54%-0.30%-0.54%
CHF0.34%-0.00%0.06%0.41%-0.01%0.24%0.54%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold hits one-week high, near $4,100 as bulls shrug off Fed hike bets and firmer USD

Gold advances to an over one-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond $4,100 before positioning for additional gains. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets and act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.