|

USD/CAD refreshes daily high, climbs above 1.3000 post-US Durable Goods Orders

  • USD/CAD regains positive traction on Wednesday and reverses a part of the overnight slide.
  • Rising bets for aggressive Fed rate hikes help revive the USD demand and extend support.
  • Mostly upbeat US Durable Goods Orders remain supportive of the intraday USD strength.
  • An uptick in oil prices could underpin the loonie and keep a lid on any meaningful upside.

The USD/CAD pair maintains its bid tone through the early North American session and climbs to a fresh daily high in the last hour, with bulls looking to build on the momentum beyond the 1.3000 psychological mark.

The US dollar makes a solid comeback on Wednesday and inches back closer to a two-decade high touched the previous day, which, in turn, extends support to the USD/CAD pair. Tuesday's disappointing US PMI prints and weak US home sales data had fueled speculations that the Fed may be less aggressive in its rate hiking cycle. That said, hawkish remarks by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari - the biggest dove - revive expectations for a supersized rate hike in September and push the USD higher.

The intraday USD buying remains well supported by mostly upbeat US Durable Goods Orders data. The US Census Bureau reported that headline orders remain flat MoM in July, missing expectations for a 0.6% rise. The disappointment, however, was offset by an upward revision of the previous month's reading, showing a growth of 2.2%. Adding to this, orders excluding transportation items recorded a slightly better-than-expected growth of 0.3% during the reported month, reaffirming hawkish Fed expectations.

In fact, the current market pricing indicates greater chances of a 75 bps Fed rate hike move at the September policy meeting. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and continues to lend support to the greenback. That said, a modest uptick in crude oil prices to a three-week high seems to underpin the commodity-linked loonie and might keep a lid on any further gains for the USD/CAD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices have managed to reverse a part of the overnight corrective decline from a six-week high.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3
Today Daily Change0.0046
Today Daily Change %0.36
Today daily open1.2954
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2874
Daily SMA501.2915
Daily SMA1001.283
Daily SMA2001.2761
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3063
Previous Daily Low1.2933
Previous Weekly High1.3009
Previous Weekly Low1.2769
Previous Monthly High1.3224
Previous Monthly Low1.2789
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2983
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3014
Daily Pivot Point S11.2904
Daily Pivot Point S21.2854
Daily Pivot Point S31.2774
Daily Pivot Point R11.3033
Daily Pivot Point R21.3113
Daily Pivot Point R31.3163

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.