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USD/CAD rebounds from weekly lows; up around 1.3535 region

  • A combination of supporting factors assisted USD/CAD to gain some traction on Thursday.
  • Worsening US-China relations dented the risk sentiment and benefitted the safe-haven USD.
  • A modest pullback in oil prices undermined the loonie and remained supportive of the uptick.

The USD/CAD pair edged higher through the early European session and was last seen trading near the top end of its daily trading range, around the 1.3530-35 region.

The pair managed to defend, rather attracted some buying near the key 1.3500 psychological mark and recovered a part of the previous day's sharp intraday fall of over 110 pips. The uptick was supported by a combination of factors – a modest pickup in the US dollar demand and a weaker tone surrounding crude oil prices.

The latest optimism over a possible vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease was overshadowed by the ever-increasing COVID-19 cases globally. This coupled with concerns about worsening US-China relations took its toll on the global risk sentiment and drove some haven flows towards the greenback.

Reports indicated that the US President Donald Trump would not impose further sanctions on top Chinese officials responsible for enacting Hong Kong's national security laws. However, a White House National Security Council spokesman said on Wednesday that Trump has not ruled out the possibility of further sanctions.

Meanwhile, oil prices retreated a bit on Thursday after OPEC and its allies (PEC+) agreed to taper record supply curbs from August. This, in turn, undermined demand for the commodity-linked currency – the loonie – and further collaborated to the USD/CAD pair's attempted recovery from weekly lows.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of monthly Retail Sales, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims. The data might influence the USD price dynamics, which along with the broader market risk sentiment might produce some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3534
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1.3509
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3587
Daily SMA501.3689
Daily SMA1001.3836
Daily SMA2001.3507
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3619
Previous Daily Low1.3505
Previous Weekly High1.3632
Previous Weekly Low1.3491
Previous Monthly High1.3802
Previous Monthly Low1.3316
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3549
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3575
Daily Pivot Point S11.347
Daily Pivot Point S21.343
Daily Pivot Point S31.3356
Daily Pivot Point R11.3583
Daily Pivot Point R21.3658
Daily Pivot Point R31.3697

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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