|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests initial support at 1.3800 near six-month lows

  • The USD/CAD pair could test the six-month low of 1.3781.
  • The 14-day RSI remains above the 30 level, reinforcing the prevailing bearish bias.
  • The pair could test the upper boundary of the descending channel near 1.3840.

The USD/CAD pair retraces its losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.3810 during the European hours on Thursday. However, technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair continuing to move lower within a clearly defined descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 30 level, reinforcing the prevailing bearish bias. A breach below the 30 mark would indicate an oversold situation and a potential for a corrective rebound in the near future. Additionally, the USD/CAD pair remains below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating a weaker short-term price momentum.

On the downside, the USD/CAD pair is testing the six-month low of 1.3781, last touched on April 21. A clear break below this level would reinforce the bearish bias, potentially driving the pair toward the 1.3419 — its lowest point since February 2024, with additional support seen around the descending channel’s lower boundary near the 1.3400 area

The USD/CAD pair could test the upper boundary of the descending channel near 1.3840, aligned with the nine-day EMA of 1.3844. A break above this crucial resistance zone would improve the short-term price momentum and would signal a potential shift toward a bullish bias, paving the way for a move toward the 50-day EMA at 1.4086. Further gains could target the next major resistance at 1.4793 — the lowest level observed since April 2003.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.19%0.18%0.94%0.08%0.19%0.11%0.16%
EUR-0.19%-0.01%0.75%-0.14%-0.01%-0.08%-0.04%
GBP-0.18%0.01%0.75%-0.10%0.00%-0.07%-0.04%
JPY-0.94%-0.75%-0.75%-0.87%-0.75%-0.88%-0.86%
CAD-0.08%0.14%0.10%0.87%0.12%0.03%0.06%
AUD-0.19%0.01%-0.00%0.75%-0.12%-0.08%-0.05%
NZD-0.11%0.08%0.07%0.88%-0.03%0.08%0.03%
CHF-0.16%0.04%0.04%0.86%-0.06%0.05%-0.03%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.