AUD/USD Price Forecast: Falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD could slide toward the rectangle's lower boundary near 0.7070.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 45 suggests fading bullish momentum.
The pair may test the immediate barrier at the 50-day EMA of 0.7127.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control.

However, the AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The proximity of these EMAs just overhead suggests topside attempts are likely to face supply, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 45 hints at fading bullish momentum rather than outright oversold conditions.

The AUD/USD pair may fall toward the lower boundary of the rectangle around 0.7070. Further declines would put downward pressure on the pair to explore the four-month low of the 0.6833 region, recorded on March 30.

On the upside, the immediate barrier lies at the 50-day EMA of 0.7127, followed by the nine-day EMA at 0.7147. A break above these averages would strengthen the bullish bias and support the pair to approach the upper rectangle boundary around 0.7270, followed by 0.7277, the highest level seen since June 2022, recorded on May 6.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		-0.04%	-0.03%	-0.03%	-0.01%	0.21%	0.07%	-0.09%
EUR	0.04%		0.00%	0.02%	0.05%	0.25%	0.08%	-0.04%
GBP	0.03%	-0.01%		0.00%	0.02%	0.23%	0.07%	-0.06%
JPY	0.03%	-0.02%	0.00%		0.03%	0.25%	0.11%	-0.05%
CAD	0.01%	-0.05%	-0.02%	-0.03%		0.22%	0.08%	-0.08%
AUD	-0.21%	-0.25%	-0.23%	-0.25%	-0.22%		-0.14%	-0.27%
NZD	-0.07%	-0.08%	-0.07%	-0.11%	-0.08%	0.14%		-0.16%
CHF	0.09%	0.04%	0.06%	0.05%	0.08%	0.27%	0.16%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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