|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Falls toward 50-day EMA near 1.4300

  • USD/CAD may test its initial support at the 50-day EMA of 1.4306. 
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index is slightly below 50, signaling a bearish outlook. 
  • Immediate resistance is seen at the nine-day EMA of 1.4371.

USD/CAD continues its losing streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.4330 during Thursday’s Asian session. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests the pair remains within a descending channel pattern, reinforcing a bearish outlook.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits just below 50, indicating a bearish sentiment. A continued decline could further validate the downside bias. Additionally, the USD/CAD pair remains below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling weaker short-term price momentum.

The initial support is located at the 50-day EMA of 1.4306, closely aligned with the psychological level of 1.4300. A decisive break below this key support zone could accelerate bearish momentum, potentially driving the USD/CAD pair toward the three-month low of 1.4151, last seen on February 14.

On the upside, the USD/CAD pair faces immediate resistance at the nine-day EMA of 1.4371, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel near 1.4530. A breakout above this channel could weaken the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for a rally toward 1.4793—the highest level since March 2003, recorded on February 3.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.12%-0.00%0.18%-0.10%-0.09%-0.13%0.04%
EUR0.12% 0.12%0.31%0.03%0.04%-0.01%0.16%
GBP0.00%-0.12% 0.21%-0.10%-0.08%-0.12%0.04%
JPY-0.18%-0.31%-0.21% -0.29%-0.27%-0.35%-0.14%
CAD0.10%-0.03%0.10%0.29% 0.03%-0.03%0.14%
AUD0.09%-0.04%0.08%0.27%-0.03% -0.05%0.12%
NZD0.13%0.01%0.12%0.35%0.03%0.05% 0.18%
CHF-0.04%-0.16%-0.04%0.14%-0.14%-0.12%-0.18% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).