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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovers around 50-60 pips from over 1-week lows

  • USD/CAD added to the overnight losses and dropped to over one-week lows on Thursday.
  • Weaker oil prices undermined the loonie and helped limit deeper losses, at least for now.

The USD/CAD pair dropped to over one-week lows, closer to mid-1.4000s during the early North-American session, albeit quickly recovered few pips thereafter.

The overnight break below 200-hour SMA and a subsequent slide below the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the 1.3518-1.4668 upsurge acted as a key trigger for bearish traders.

However, the intraday downtick showed some resilience below 50.0% Fibo. level amid slightly oversold conditions on the 1-hourly chart and weaker crude oil prices.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart – though have been correcting – have still managed to hold in the bullish territory and warrant some caution for bears.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling, possibly below daily swing lows, around the 1.4070-65 region, before positioning for a further slide.

Sustained break through the mentioned support will set the stage for an extension of the pair’s recent sharp retracement slide from multi-year tops set last Thursday.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt might confront some fresh supply the 1.4190-1.4200 region and seems more likely to remain capped ahead of 38.2% Fibo.

USD/CAD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.4119
Today Daily Change-0.0073
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open1.4192
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3871
Daily SMA501.348
Daily SMA1001.3323
Daily SMA2001.3259
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4484
Previous Daily Low1.4178
Previous Weekly High1.4668
Previous Weekly Low1.3788
Previous Monthly High1.3465
Previous Monthly Low1.3202
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4295
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4367
Daily Pivot Point S11.4086
Daily Pivot Point S21.398
Daily Pivot Point S31.3781
Daily Pivot Point R11.4391
Daily Pivot Point R21.459
Daily Pivot Point R31.4696

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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